Russia · Premier League

Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika

Kick-off 13:30 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

73% confidence

Krylia Sovetov 73.1% Draw 19.0% Baltika 7.9%

Over 2.5 - 55% BTTS - 43%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 60%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 14.1%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Krylia Sovetov: 8 points versus 3 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.1%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

60%

Market does not fully agree

Krylia Sovetov

D D W L W

Form 2-2-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 0.8

Baltika

W L L L L

Form 1-0-4 Goals 4:7 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 1.4

🏥 Baltika unavailable

A. Filin · Knee Injury

N. Gassama · Injury

📈 Probability Breakdown

Krylia Sovetov win73.1%

Draw19.0%

Baltika win7.9%

Over 1.5 goals79.5%

Over 2.5 goals55.2%

Over 3.5 goals32.9%

Both teams to score43.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.0%

Draw No Bet - Home89.2%

Home or Away (12)83.0%

Home Win74.1%

Both Halves Over 0.558.0%

Goal in Both Halves58.0%

Draw or Away (X2)25.9%

Draw16.9%

Exactly 1 Goal16.0%

Draw No Bet - Away10.8%

Away Win9.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.4%

Under 5.5 Goals92.7%

Under 4.5 Goals83.3%

Over 1.5 Goals78.4%

Under 3.5 Goals67.2%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals55.2%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.5%

Under 2.5 Goals44.8%

1-2 Goals39.2%

3-4 Goals38.5%

Over 3.5 Goals32.8%

4+ Goals32.8%

Exactly 2 Goals23.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals21.6%

Over 4.5 Goals16.7%

Over 5.5 Goals7.3%

Under 0.5 Goals5.6%

Exactly 0 Goals5.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)57.7%

Home Clean Sheet52.7%

Away Team to Score47.2%

Home Win to Nil47.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)42.3%

Away Clean Sheet10.5%

Away Win to Nil5.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.4%

Home Over 1.565.8%

Away Exactly 052.7%

Away Over 0.547.2%

Home Over 2.539.1%

Home 3+ Goals39.1%

Away Exactly 133.7%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 123.7%

Away Over 1.513.5%

Away Exactly 210.8%

Home Exactly 010.5%

Away Over 2.52.7%

Away 3+ Goals2.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.0%

Home to win by 3+28.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.9%

Home to win by 123.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.2%

Home to win by 222.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.8%

Away to win by 16.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.8%

Away to win by 21.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.547.5%

Home & No BTTS47.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.536.8%

BTTS & Over 2.534.3%

Home & BTTS26.9%

Home & Under 2.526.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.9%

Draw & Under 2.513.5%

Draw & BTTS11.4%

BTTS & Under 2.58.0%

Away & No BTTS5.0%

Away & Under 2.54.7%

Away & Over 2.54.3%

Away & BTTS4.0%

Draw & Over 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.572.8%

HT Under 1.562.6%

HT Home Win53.9%

HT/FT Home/Home50.3%

2nd Half More Goals44.2%

HT Over 1.537.4%

HT Draw35.7%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Under 0.527.2%

Equal Goals Each Half24.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.2%

HT Both Teams Score15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.8%

HT Away Win10.4%

HT/FT Away/Away4.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Baltika

A. Filin Knee Injury

N. Gassama Injury

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Krylia Sovetov win10%

Draw45%

Baltika win45%

AdviceCombo Double chance : draw or Baltika and -3.5 goals

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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