Russia · Premier League

Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Krylia Sovetov 53.8% Draw 22.1% Dinamo Makhachkala 24.1%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Team to Score

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Dinamo Makhachkala: 8 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.9%

Exact-score model probability

Krylia Sovetov

L D D W L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Dinamo Makhachkala

L W W W W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Krylia Sovetov win53.8%

Draw22.1%

Dinamo Makhachkala win24.1%

Over 1.5 goals90.0%

Over 2.5 goals72.5%

Over 3.5 goals51.8%

Both teams to score70.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

89.5%

Home Over 0.5

89.5%

Over 1.5 Goals

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.9%

Home or Draw (1X)74.8%

Both Halves Over 0.571.3%

Goal in Both Halves71.3%

Draw No Bet - Home68.5%

Home Win54.8%

Draw or Away (X2)45.2%

Draw No Bet - Away31.5%

Away Win25.2%

Draw20.0%

Exactly 1 Goal8.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals88.9%

Under 5.5 Goals82.2%

Over 2.5 Goals72.4%

Under 4.5 Goals67.6%

2-4 Goals56.5%

Over 3.5 Goals51.8%

4+ Goals51.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals48.2%

1-3 Goals45.8%

3-4 Goals40.0%

2-3 Goals37.1%

Over 4.5 Goals32.4%

Under 2.5 Goals27.6%

1-2 Goals25.2%

Exactly 3 Goals20.6%

Over 5.5 Goals17.8%

Exactly 2 Goals16.4%

Under 1.5 Goals11.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.5%

Away Team to Score77.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.5%

Home Clean Sheet22.3%

Home Win to Nil20.0%

Away Clean Sheet10.4%

Away Win to Nil8.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.5%

Away Over 0.577.6%

Home Over 1.566.0%

Away Over 1.544.2%

Home Over 2.539.3%

Home 3+ Goals39.3%

Away Exactly 133.5%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 225.1%

Home Exactly 123.6%

Away Exactly 022.3%

Away Over 2.519.1%

Away 3+ Goals19.1%

Home Exactly 010.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.9%

Home to win by 120.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.6%

Home to win by 3+17.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 216.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.9%

Away to win by 113.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.2%

Away to win by 27.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.1%

Away to win by 3+4.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.7%

Home & Over 2.543.6%

Home & BTTS34.8%

Home & No BTTS20.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.6%

Away & Over 2.519.1%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Away & BTTS17.1%

Home & Under 2.511.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.8%

Draw & Under 2.510.2%

Draw & Over 2.59.8%

Away & No BTTS8.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Away & Under 2.56.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.6%

HT Over 1.550.5%

HT Under 1.549.5%

2nd Half More Goals46.9%

HT Home Win42.8%

HT/FT Home/Home35.5%

HT Draw33.4%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score31.3%

HT Away Win23.8%

Equal Goals Each Half21.1%

HT Under 0.518.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.4%

HT/FT Away/Away14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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