Russia · Premier League

Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moskva

Kick-off 16:00 · Fri, Sep 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

72% confidence

Krylia Sovetov 72.0% Draw 12.2% Rodina Moskva 15.8%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-2 at 5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Krylia Sovetov: 6 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Krylia Sovetov

D L L D D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Rodina Moskva

L D W L L

Form 1-1-3 Goals 7:14 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 2.8

📈 Probability Breakdown

Krylia Sovetov win72.0%

Draw12.2%

Rodina Moskva win15.8%

Over 1.5 goals99.3%

Over 2.5 goals96.6%

Over 3.5 goals90.8%

Both teams to score89.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Over 1.5

89.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.3%

Goal in Both Halves93.3%

Home or Away (12)84.5%

Draw No Bet - Home81.8%

Home or Draw (1X)80.6%

Home Win69.2%

Draw or Away (X2)26.7%

Draw No Bet - Away18.2%

Away Win15.3%

Draw11.4%

Exactly 1 Goal0.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals95.1%

Over 2.5 Goals92.7%

Over 3.5 Goals87.1%

4+ Goals87.1%

Over 4.5 Goals77.5%

Over 5.5 Goals64.3%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Under 5.5 Goals35.7%

Under 4.5 Goals22.5%

2-4 Goals17.6%

3-4 Goals15.2%

Under 3.5 Goals12.9%

1-3 Goals8.7%

2-3 Goals8.0%

Under 2.5 Goals7.3%

Exactly 3 Goals5.6%

Under 1.5 Goals4.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

1-2 Goals3.1%

Exactly 2 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.8%

Away Team to Score87.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.0%

Home Clean Sheet8.9%

Home Win to Nil8.8%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 1.589.8%

Away Over 0.587.0%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 1.565.9%

Away Over 2.540.7%

Away 3+ Goals40.7%

Away Exactly 225.2%

Away Exactly 121.1%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 08.9%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away81.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)70.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away70.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)56.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away56.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)54.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home54.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)41.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away41.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)39.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home39.3%

Home to win by 3+39.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)26.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away26.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.5%

Home to win by 215.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.4%

Home to win by 114.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home14.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.6%

Away to win by 17.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.3%

Away to win by 24.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.4%

Away to win by 3+3.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.9%

Home & Over 2.567.7%

Home & BTTS60.4%

Away & Over 2.514.8%

Away & BTTS14.3%

Draw & BTTS11.3%

Draw & Over 2.510.2%

Home & No BTTS8.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Home & Under 2.51.5%

Draw & Under 2.51.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.5%

HT Over 1.581.4%

HT Home Win59.4%

HT Both Teams Score57.0%

HT/FT Home/Home53.3%

2nd Half More Goals52.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw21.1%

HT Away Win19.5%

HT Under 1.518.6%

Equal Goals Each Half15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.3%

HT/FT Away/Away9.1%

HT/FT Away/Home6.5%

HT Under 0.54.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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