Russia · Premier League

Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow

Kick-off 15:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Krylia Sovetov 27.7% Draw 22.1% Spartak Moscow 50.2%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Spartak Moscow: 6 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.4%

Exact-score model probability

Krylia Sovetov

D L L D D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Spartak Moscow

D W L W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 1

Krylia Sovetov 1wins ·0 draws ·Spartak Moscow 0wins

Krylia Sovetov 2-1 Spartak MoscowMay 1, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Krylia Sovetov win27.7%

Draw22.1%

Spartak Moscow win50.2%

Over 1.5 goals91.2%

Over 2.5 goals74.9%

Over 3.5 goals55.0%

Both teams to score73.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.2%

Away Team to Score

89.4%

Away Over 0.5

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.8%

Both Halves Over 0.573.2%

Goal in Both Halves73.2%

Draw or Away (X2)71.3%

Draw No Bet - Away64.0%

Away Win51.1%

Home or Draw (1X)48.8%

Draw No Bet - Home36.0%

Home Win28.7%

Draw20.2%

Exactly 1 Goal7.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.2%

Under 5.5 Goals79.9%

Over 2.5 Goals74.9%

Under 4.5 Goals64.6%

Over 3.5 Goals55.0%

4+ Goals55.0%

2-4 Goals54.7%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals45.0%

1-3 Goals43.0%

3-4 Goals39.5%

Over 4.5 Goals35.4%

2-3 Goals35.2%

Under 2.5 Goals25.1%

1-2 Goals23.1%

Over 5.5 Goals20.1%

Exactly 3 Goals19.9%

Exactly 2 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals9.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.4%

Home Team to Score81.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.5%

Away Clean Sheet18.9%

Away Win to Nil16.9%

Home Clean Sheet10.5%

Home Win to Nil8.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.4%

Home Over 0.581.1%

Away Over 1.565.7%

Home Over 1.549.6%

Away Over 2.539.0%

Away 3+ Goals39.0%

Home Exactly 131.5%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 226.2%

Away Exactly 123.7%

Home Over 2.523.4%

Home 3+ Goals23.4%

Home Exactly 018.9%

Away Exactly 010.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)69.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home69.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)51.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)48.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home48.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)31.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away31.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.1%

Away to win by 120.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.8%

Away to win by 3+15.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.2%

Away to win by 215.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 114.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.3%

Home to win by 28.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.5%

Home to win by 3+5.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.565.1%

Away & Over 2.541.6%

Away & BTTS34.2%

Home & Over 2.522.6%

Home & BTTS20.1%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.6%

Away & No BTTS16.9%

Draw & Over 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.8%

Draw & Under 2.59.5%

Away & Under 2.59.5%

Home & No BTTS8.5%

BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Home & Under 2.56.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.8%

HT Over 1.552.6%

HT Under 1.547.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Away Win40.8%

HT Both Teams Score33.6%

HT Draw32.9%

HT/FT Away/Away32.8%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Home Win26.4%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT Under 0.517.2%

HT/FT Home/Home17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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