UEFA Europa Conference League

KuPS vs Gent

Kick-off 18:45 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

KuPS 42.8% Draw 30.0% Gent 27.2%

Over 2.5 - 45% BTTS - 51%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Gent: 5 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.7%

Exact-score model probability

KuPS

W D L D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:7 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Gent

W D W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

KuPS win42.8%

Draw30.0%

Gent win27.2%

Over 1.5 goals72.5%

Over 2.5 goals45.1%

Over 3.5 goals23.8%

Both teams to score51.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

92.0%

Over 0.5 Goals

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)73.3%

Home or Draw (1X)71.2%

Draw No Bet - Home60.7%

Draw or Away (X2)55.5%

Both Halves Over 0.550.0%

Goal in Both Halves50.0%

Home Win44.5%

Draw No Bet - Away39.3%

Away Win28.8%

Draw26.7%

Exactly 1 Goal20.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.9%

Over 0.5 Goals91.6%

Under 4.5 Goals89.4%

Under 3.5 Goals76.2%

Over 1.5 Goals70.8%

1-3 Goals67.8%

2-4 Goals60.2%

Under 2.5 Goals54.9%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

2-3 Goals47.0%

1-2 Goals46.6%

Over 2.5 Goals45.1%

3-4 Goals34.5%

Under 1.5 Goals29.2%

Exactly 2 Goals25.8%

Over 3.5 Goals23.8%

4+ Goals23.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Over 4.5 Goals10.6%

Under 0.5 Goals8.4%

Exactly 0 Goals8.4%

Over 5.5 Goals4.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score75.4%

Away Team to Score65.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)50.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)49.7%

Home Clean Sheet34.1%

Home Win to Nil25.7%

Away Clean Sheet24.6%

Away Win to Nil16.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.575.4%

Away Over 0.565.9%

Home Over 1.540.9%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 134.5%

Away Exactly 034.1%

Away Over 1.529.2%

Home Exactly 024.6%

Home Exactly 224.2%

Away Exactly 219.7%

Home Over 2.516.7%

Home 3+ Goals16.7%

Away Over 2.59.5%

Away 3+ Goals9.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)55.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away55.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)44.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.2%

Home to win by 123.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.8%

Away to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.3%

Home to win by 213.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.0%

Home to win by 3+8.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.8%

Away to win by 27.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.3%

Away to win by 3+3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.542.3%

BTTS & Over 2.537.0%

Home & No BTTS25.7%

Home & Over 2.524.4%

Draw & Under 2.521.0%

Home & Under 2.520.0%

Home & BTTS18.7%

Draw & BTTS18.3%

Away & No BTTS16.2%

Away & Over 2.515.0%

Away & Under 2.513.9%

BTTS & Under 2.512.7%

Away & BTTS12.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

Draw & Over 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.4%

HT Over 0.567.2%

HT Draw43.6%

2nd Half More Goals42.5%

HT Home Win33.0%

HT Under 0.532.8%

HT Over 1.530.6%

1st Half More Goals30.6%

Equal Goals Each Half26.9%

HT/FT Home/Home26.5%

HT Away Win23.4%

HT Both Teams Score18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.9%

HT/FT Away/Away16.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions