UEFA Europa Conference League

KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers

Kick-off 16:00 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

KuPS 68.2% Draw 17.0% Shamrock Rovers 14.8%

Over 2.5 - 80% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Shamrock Rovers: 2 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

KuPS

D L D L L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 5:10 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.67

Shamrock Rovers

D L W W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 1

KuPS 0wins ·1 draws ·Shamrock Rovers 0wins

KuPS 1-1 Shamrock RoversAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

KuPS win68.2%

Draw17.0%

Shamrock Rovers win14.8%

Over 1.5 goals93.5%

Over 2.5 goals80.3%

Over 3.5 goals62.2%

Both teams to score71.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

85.6%

Home or Draw (1X)

84.2%

Home or Away (12)

84.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.2%

Home or Away (12)84.2%

Draw No Bet - Home81.7%

Both Halves Over 0.577.6%

Goal in Both Halves77.6%

Home Win68.7%

Draw or Away (X2)30.9%

Draw No Bet - Away18.3%

Draw15.5%

Away Win15.4%

Exactly 1 Goal5.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals92.5%

Over 2.5 Goals80.0%

Under 5.5 Goals73.9%

Over 3.5 Goals62.0%

4+ Goals62.0%

Under 4.5 Goals57.3%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-4 Goals49.8%

Over 4.5 Goals42.7%

Under 3.5 Goals38.0%

3-4 Goals37.3%

1-3 Goals36.3%

2-3 Goals30.5%

Over 5.5 Goals26.1%

Under 2.5 Goals20.0%

1-2 Goals18.3%

Exactly 3 Goals18.0%

Exactly 2 Goals12.5%

Under 1.5 Goals7.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.3%

Away Team to Score74.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.4%

Home Clean Sheet25.1%

Home Win to Nil23.7%

Away Clean Sheet5.4%

Away Win to Nil4.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.3%

Home Over 1.578.6%

Away Over 0.574.6%

Home Over 2.555.6%

Home 3+ Goals55.6%

Away Over 1.540.0%

Away Exactly 134.6%

Away Exactly 025.1%

Away Exactly 223.9%

Home Exactly 223.0%

Away Over 2.516.1%

Away 3+ Goals16.1%

Home Exactly 115.7%

Home Exactly 05.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)50.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away50.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.5%

Home to win by 3+30.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 119.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 218.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.2%

Away to win by 19.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.2%

Away to win by 24.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.1%

Away to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.565.1%

Home & Over 2.559.0%

Home & BTTS45.0%

Home & No BTTS23.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.9%

Draw & BTTS14.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.2%

Away & Over 2.512.3%

Away & BTTS11.4%

Home & Under 2.59.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Under 2.56.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Away & No BTTS4.0%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.6%

HT Over 1.557.7%

HT Home Win53.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.2%

HT/FT Home/Home47.8%

HT Under 1.542.3%

HT Both Teams Score33.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.8%

Equal Goals Each Half19.5%

HT Away Win17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.6%

HT Under 0.514.4%

HT/FT Away/Away8.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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