Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

KV Mechelen vs Genk

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

KV Mechelen 32.8% Draw 27.5% Genk 39.7%

Over 2.5 - 63% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

78%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Genk: 3 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: KV Mechelen 1 wins, 1 draws, Genk 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

KV Mechelen

D L L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 7:15 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.5

Genk

W L D W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 5

KV Mechelen 1wins ·1 draws ·Genk 3wins

KV Mechelen 2-3 GenkFeb 13, 2026

KV Mechelen 1-0 GenkNov 23, 2025

KV Mechelen 1-2 GenkJan 18, 2025

KV Mechelen 1-2 GenkSep 28, 2024

KV Mechelen 1-1 GenkFeb 11, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

KV Mechelen win32.8%

Draw27.5%

Genk win39.7%

Over 1.5 goals78.1%

Over 2.5 goals63.4%

Over 3.5 goals30.9%

Both teams to score63.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.2%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.3%

Draw or Away (X2)77.5%

Draw No Bet - Away71.4%

Both Halves Over 0.562.8%

Goal in Both Halves62.8%

Away Win55.9%

Home or Draw (1X)44.1%

Draw No Bet - Home28.6%

Home Win22.4%

Draw21.6%

Exactly 1 Goal13.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Under 5.5 Goals89.8%

Over 1.5 Goals82.5%

Under 4.5 Goals78.5%

Over 2.5 Goals61.4%

2-4 Goals61.1%

Under 3.5 Goals60.9%

1-3 Goals56.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.4%

3-4 Goals40.0%

Over 3.5 Goals39.1%

4+ Goals39.1%

Under 2.5 Goals38.6%

1-2 Goals34.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.5%

Exactly 2 Goals21.1%

Under 1.5 Goals17.5%

Over 5.5 Goals10.2%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 0 Goals4.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.3%

Home Team to Score69.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.1%

Away Clean Sheet30.5%

Away Win to Nil26.3%

Home Clean Sheet13.7%

Home Win to Nil9.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.3%

Home Over 0.569.5%

Away Over 1.559.0%

Home Exactly 136.2%

Home Over 1.533.3%

Away Over 2.532.0%

Away 3+ Goals32.0%

Home Exactly 030.5%

Away Exactly 127.2%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 221.5%

Away Exactly 013.7%

Home Over 2.511.8%

Home 3+ Goals11.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)83.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home83.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home66.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)55.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)44.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home44.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)33.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away33.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.8%

Away to win by 122.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 217.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away16.1%

Away to win by 3+16.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.6%

Home to win by 113.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.1%

Home to win by 26.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.7%

Home to win by 3+2.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.550.1%

Away & Over 2.539.3%

Away & BTTS29.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.7%

Away & No BTTS26.3%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

Away & Under 2.516.6%

Home & Over 2.514.5%

Draw & Under 2.514.1%

Home & BTTS12.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.4%

BTTS & Under 2.59.9%

Home & No BTTS9.5%

Home & Under 2.57.9%

Draw & Over 2.57.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.0%

HT Under 1.558.2%

2nd Half More Goals45.2%

HT Away Win42.2%

HT Over 1.541.8%

HT Draw36.9%

HT/FT Away/Away35.7%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Both Teams Score24.5%

HT Under 0.524.0%

Equal Goals Each Half23.2%

HT Home Win20.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.9%

HT/FT Home/Home12.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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