Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

KVC Westerlo 36.8% Draw 27.9% Charleroi 35.3%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 44%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 8.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Charleroi: 3 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: KVC Westerlo 3 wins, 0 draws, Charleroi 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.5%

Exact-score model probability

KVC Westerlo

L L L L W L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 5:15 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.5

Charleroi

W W W D L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 5

KVC Westerlo 3wins ·0 draws ·Charleroi 2wins

KVC Westerlo 1-0 CharleroiMay 16, 2026

KVC Westerlo 2-0 CharleroiApr 5, 2026

KVC Westerlo 2-1 CharleroiFeb 22, 2026

KVC Westerlo 0-2 CharleroiNov 8, 2025

KVC Westerlo 3-4 CharleroiMay 9, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

KVC Westerlo win36.8%

Draw27.9%

Charleroi win35.3%

Over 1.5 goals77.2%

Over 2.5 goals83.5%

Over 3.5 goals29.7%

Both teams to score43.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

91.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)91.5%

Draw No Bet - Away90.8%

Home or Away (12)87.6%

Away Win79.6%

Both Halves Over 0.575.4%

Goal in Both Halves75.4%

Home or Draw (1X)19.9%

Draw11.9%

Draw No Bet - Home9.2%

Home Win8.0%

Exactly 1 Goal6.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals91.1%

Under 5.5 Goals77.3%

Over 2.5 Goals77.2%

Under 4.5 Goals61.3%

Over 3.5 Goals58.2%

4+ Goals58.2%

2-4 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals41.8%

1-3 Goals39.7%

Over 4.5 Goals38.7%

3-4 Goals38.5%

2-3 Goals32.9%

Under 2.5 Goals22.8%

Over 5.5 Goals22.7%

1-2 Goals20.7%

Exactly 3 Goals19.0%

Exactly 2 Goals13.9%

Under 1.5 Goals8.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.2%

Home Team to Score61.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.3%

Away Clean Sheet38.1%

Away Win to Nil36.4%

Home Clean Sheet4.3%

Home Win to Nil2.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.2%

Away Over 1.581.6%

Home Over 0.561.4%

Away Over 2.560.4%

Away 3+ Goals60.4%

Home Exactly 038.1%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Home Over 1.524.8%

Away Exactly 221.3%

Home Exactly 217.6%

Away Exactly 113.5%

Home Over 2.57.3%

Home 3+ Goals7.3%

Away Exactly 04.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away91.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home87.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)79.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)75.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home75.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)61.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away61.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)58.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home58.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)41.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away41.3%

Away to win by 3+41.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)38.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home38.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)24.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away24.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.2%

Away to win by 220.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home19.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.1%

Away to win by 118.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw12.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away12.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.5%

Home to win by 15.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.9%

Home to win by 21.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.6%

Home to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.566.2%

BTTS & Over 2.553.8%

Away & BTTS43.1%

Away & No BTTS36.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.3%

Away & Under 2.513.3%

Draw & BTTS10.3%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

Home & Over 2.55.7%

Home & BTTS5.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.3%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Home & No BTTS2.7%

Home & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.2%

HT Away Win61.8%

HT/FT Away/Away58.1%

HT Over 1.555.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.9%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw27.0%

HT Both Teams Score26.6%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.0%

HT Under 0.515.8%

HT Home Win11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.0%

HT/FT Home/Home4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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