Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege

Kick-off 17:15 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

KVC Westerlo 43.0% Draw 28.4% Standard Liege 28.6%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Standard Liege: 3 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: KVC Westerlo 1 wins, 2 draws, Standard Liege 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

KVC Westerlo

L L L L W L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 5:15 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.5

Standard Liege

D D L W D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

KVC Westerlo 1wins ·2 draws ·Standard Liege 2wins

KVC Westerlo 1-2 Standard LiegeMay 19, 2026

KVC Westerlo 2-1 Standard LiegeApr 11, 2026

KVC Westerlo 0-0 Standard LiegeMar 22, 2026

KVC Westerlo 0-2 Standard LiegeSep 21, 2025

KVC Westerlo 0-0 Standard LiegeMay 24, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

KVC Westerlo win43.0%

Draw28.4%

Standard Liege win28.6%

Over 1.5 goals74.3%

Over 2.5 goals95.8%

Over 3.5 goals26.2%

Both teams to score86.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

90.0%

HT Over 0.5

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)85.0%

Draw or Away (X2)83.8%

Both Halves Over 0.582.8%

Goal in Both Halves82.8%

Draw No Bet - Away81.7%

Away Win69.5%

Home or Draw (1X)29.8%

Draw No Bet - Home18.3%

Home Win15.5%

Draw14.3%

Exactly 1 Goal3.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals94.9%

Over 2.5 Goals85.8%

Over 3.5 Goals71.0%

4+ Goals71.0%

Under 5.5 Goals64.5%

Over 4.5 Goals53.1%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 4.5 Goals46.9%

2-4 Goals41.8%

Over 5.5 Goals35.5%

3-4 Goals32.7%

Under 3.5 Goals29.0%

1-3 Goals27.5%

2-3 Goals23.8%

Exactly 3 Goals14.7%

Under 2.5 Goals14.2%

1-2 Goals12.8%

Exactly 2 Goals9.1%

Under 1.5 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.6%

Home Team to Score79.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.7%

Away Clean Sheet20.1%

Away Win to Nil19.3%

Home Clean Sheet3.8%

Home Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.6%

Away Over 1.583.2%

Home Over 0.579.3%

Away Over 2.562.9%

Away 3+ Goals62.9%

Home Over 1.547.2%

Home Exactly 132.1%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Home Over 2.521.5%

Home 3+ Goals21.5%

Away Exactly 220.3%

Home Exactly 020.1%

Away Exactly 112.4%

Away Exactly 03.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home90.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)83.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away83.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)80.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home80.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)69.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home65.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)51.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away51.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)47.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home47.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)33.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away33.4%

Away to win by 3+33.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home29.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away19.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.1%

Away to win by 118.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.0%

Away to win by 218.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.8%

Home to win by 18.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.3%

Home to win by 24.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.4%

Home to win by 3+2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.3%

Away & Over 2.562.9%

Away & BTTS50.2%

Away & No BTTS19.3%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.5%

Home & Over 2.513.3%

Home & BTTS12.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.6%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

Away & Under 2.56.6%

Draw & Under 2.54.8%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Home & No BTTS3.0%

Home & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.8%

HT Over 1.564.4%

HT Away Win55.2%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT/FT Away/Away49.3%

HT Both Teams Score39.6%

HT Under 1.535.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw26.5%

HT Home Win18.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.7%

HT Under 0.511.2%

HT/FT Home/Home9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.1%

HT/FT Home/Away5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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