Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

KVC Westerlo 16.9% Draw 26.2% Union St. Gilloise 56.9%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Union St. Gilloise: 4 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

KVC Westerlo

L L W L D L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 7:14 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.33

Union St. Gilloise

D W D L W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

KVC Westerlo 1wins ·2 draws ·Union St. Gilloise 2wins

KVC Westerlo 0-0 Union St. GilloiseMar 1, 2026

KVC Westerlo 0-2 Union St. GilloiseSep 27, 2025

KVC Westerlo 1-3 Union St. GilloiseDec 15, 2024

KVC Westerlo 4-3 Union St. GilloiseAug 10, 2024

KVC Westerlo 2-2 Union St. GilloiseFeb 10, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

KVC Westerlo win16.9%

Draw26.2%

Union St. Gilloise win56.9%

Over 1.5 goals72.5%

Over 2.5 goals90.3%

Over 3.5 goals24.4%

Both teams to score87.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

90.9%

Away Over 0.5

90.9%

Home Team to Score

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.581.4%

Goal in Both Halves81.4%

Home or Away (12)80.9%

Draw or Away (X2)61.3%

Home or Draw (1X)57.4%

Draw No Bet - Away52.4%

Draw No Bet - Home47.6%

Away Win42.4%

Home Win38.5%

Draw18.9%

Exactly 1 Goal4.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals84.8%

Over 3.5 Goals69.1%

4+ Goals69.1%

Under 5.5 Goals66.8%

Over 4.5 Goals50.6%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals49.4%

2-4 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals34.1%

Over 5.5 Goals33.2%

Under 3.5 Goals30.9%

1-3 Goals29.9%

2-3 Goals25.6%

Exactly 3 Goals15.7%

Under 2.5 Goals15.2%

1-2 Goals14.2%

Exactly 2 Goals10.0%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.9%

Home Team to Score89.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.2%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil9.1%

Home Clean Sheet9.0%

Home Win to Nil8.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.9%

Home Over 0.589.8%

Away Over 1.569.3%

Home Over 1.566.8%

Away Over 2.543.2%

Away 3+ Goals43.2%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Home Exactly 123.0%

Away Exactly 121.6%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Away Exactly 09.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)38.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)22.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home22.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.2%

Away to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 116.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.9%

Away to win by 3+12.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.4%

Away to win by 212.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.3%

Home to win by 211.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.9%

Home to win by 3+10.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.8%

Away & Over 2.537.6%

Home & Over 2.534.1%

Away & BTTS33.3%

Home & BTTS30.5%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Draw & Over 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Away & No BTTS9.1%

Home & No BTTS8.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.9%

Draw & Under 2.55.9%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Away & Under 2.54.8%

Home & Under 2.54.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.0%

HT Over 1.562.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.1%

HT Both Teams Score42.7%

HT Under 1.537.4%

HT Away Win36.4%

HT Home Win33.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw29.8%

HT/FT Away/Away26.9%

HT/FT Home/Home24.1%

Equal Goals Each Half18.5%

HT Under 0.512.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

KVC Westerlo win0%

Draw50%

Union St. Gilloise win50%

AdviceDouble chance : draw or Union St. Gilloise

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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