UEFA Europa Conference League

Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Larne 45.3% Draw 32.3% Lincoln Red Imps FC 22.4%

Over 2.5 - 35% BTTS - 42%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 15.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Larne: 7 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.6%

Exact-score model probability

Larne

W L D L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 5:12 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2

Lincoln Red Imps FC

L L D D L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:8 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Larne 1wins ·0 draws ·Lincoln Red Imps FC 0wins

Larne 2-0 Lincoln Red Imps FCAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Larne win45.3%

Draw32.3%

Lincoln Red Imps FC win22.4%

Over 1.5 goals63.6%

Over 2.5 goals35.0%

Over 3.5 goals16.1%

Both teams to score42.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

87.7%

Under 3.5 Goals

83.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

78.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)75.9%

Home or Away (12)71.0%

Draw No Bet - Home66.1%

Draw or Away (X2)53.0%

Home Win47.0%

Both Halves Over 0.541.8%

Goal in Both Halves41.8%

Draw No Bet - Away33.9%

Draw29.0%

Exactly 1 Goal25.8%

Away Win24.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.0%

Under 4.5 Goals93.8%

Over 0.5 Goals87.7%

Under 3.5 Goals83.9%

1-3 Goals71.6%

Under 2.5 Goals65.0%

Over 1.5 Goals62.0%

2-4 Goals55.8%

1-2 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Even50.8%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

2-3 Goals45.9%

Under 1.5 Goals38.0%

Over 2.5 Goals35.0%

3-4 Goals28.8%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Over 3.5 Goals16.1%

4+ Goals16.1%

Under 0.5 Goals12.3%

Exactly 0 Goals12.3%

Over 4.5 Goals6.2%

Over 5.5 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score72.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)59.6%

Away Team to Score56.1%

Home Clean Sheet43.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)40.4%

Home Win to Nil31.6%

Away Clean Sheet28.0%

Away Win to Nil15.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.572.0%

Away Over 0.556.1%

Away Exactly 043.9%

Home Over 1.536.4%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Home Exactly 135.6%

Home Exactly 028.0%

Home Exactly 222.7%

Away Over 1.519.9%

Away Exactly 214.9%

Home Over 2.513.7%

Home 3+ Goals13.7%

Away Over 2.55.1%

Away 3+ Goals5.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.4%

Home to win by 125.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.4%

Away to win by 116.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.9%

Home to win by 213.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.6%

Home to win by 3+7.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.8%

Away to win by 25.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.8%

Away to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.552.2%

Home & No BTTS31.6%

BTTS & Over 2.527.5%

Home & Under 2.525.6%

Draw & Under 2.525.2%

Home & Over 2.521.4%

Draw & BTTS16.7%

Away & No BTTS15.7%

Home & BTTS15.4%

Away & Under 2.514.3%

BTTS & Under 2.512.9%

Away & Over 2.59.8%

Away & BTTS8.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.4%

Draw & Over 2.53.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.575.6%

HT Over 0.561.1%

HT Draw47.6%

2nd Half More Goals40.5%

HT Under 0.538.9%

HT Home Win33.1%

Equal Goals Each Half29.8%

1st Half More Goals29.7%

HT/FT Home/Home27.7%

HT Over 1.524.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw20.2%

HT Away Win19.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.5%

HT Both Teams Score13.5%

HT/FT Away/Away13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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