France · Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Auxerre

Kick-off 16:15 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Le Havre 37.3% Draw 30.9% Auxerre 31.8%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 88%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

88%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Auxerre: 2 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Le Havre 3 wins, 1 draws, Auxerre 0 wins in the last 4 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

Le Havre

L L D L D L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Auxerre

W W L L L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:12 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 4

Le Havre 3wins ·1 draws ·Auxerre 0wins

Le Havre 1-1 AuxerreApr 5, 2026

Le Havre 1-0 AuxerreOct 26, 2025

Le Havre 2-1 AuxerreMay 4, 2025

Le Havre 3-1 AuxerreSep 1, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Le Havre win37.3%

Draw30.9%

Auxerre win31.8%

Over 1.5 goals63.6%

Over 2.5 goals91.1%

Over 3.5 goals16.8%

Both teams to score87.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.7%

Home Team to Score

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.6%

Both Halves Over 0.579.0%

Goal in Both Halves79.0%

Home or Draw (1X)66.2%

Draw No Bet - Home58.2%

Draw or Away (X2)53.0%

Home Win46.9%

Draw No Bet - Away41.8%

Away Win33.7%

Draw19.3%

Exactly 1 Goal5.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals93.5%

Over 2.5 Goals81.9%

Under 5.5 Goals71.4%

Over 3.5 Goals64.7%

4+ Goals64.7%

Under 4.5 Goals54.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-4 Goals47.9%

Over 4.5 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals36.3%

Under 3.5 Goals35.3%

1-3 Goals34.0%

2-3 Goals28.8%

Over 5.5 Goals28.6%

Under 2.5 Goals18.1%

Exactly 3 Goals17.2%

1-2 Goals16.8%

Exactly 2 Goals11.6%

Under 1.5 Goals6.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.8%

Away Team to Score86.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.0%

Home Clean Sheet13.0%

Home Win to Nil11.8%

Away Clean Sheet9.0%

Away Win to Nil7.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.8%

Away Over 0.586.9%

Home Over 1.569.1%

Away Over 1.560.4%

Home Over 2.543.0%

Home 3+ Goals43.0%

Away Over 2.533.4%

Away 3+ Goals33.4%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 126.5%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Home Exactly 121.7%

Away Exactly 013.0%

Home Exactly 09.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away71.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)66.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home66.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 118.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 115.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.8%

Home to win by 3+14.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.7%

Home to win by 213.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.9%

Away to win by 29.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 3+8.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.3%

Home & Over 2.540.7%

Home & BTTS35.1%

Away & Over 2.528.9%

Away & BTTS25.8%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Draw & Over 2.512.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.2%

Home & No BTTS11.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

Away & No BTTS7.9%

Draw & Under 2.56.9%

Home & Under 2.56.2%

BTTS & Under 2.55.8%

Away & Under 2.54.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.5%

HT Over 1.559.4%

2nd Half More Goals48.5%

HT Under 1.540.6%

HT Both Teams Score39.7%

HT Home Win38.9%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.7%

HT Away Win30.4%

HT/FT Home/Home30.0%

HT/FT Away/Away20.6%

Equal Goals Each Half19.2%

HT Under 0.513.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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