France · Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Lorient

Kick-off 17:15 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

Le Havre 31.0% Draw 30.2% Lorient 38.8%

Over 2.5 - 31% BTTS - 38%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lorient: 1 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Le Havre 2 wins, 2 draws, Lorient 0 wins in the last 4 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13%

Exact-score model probability

Le Havre

L L L L L D

Form 0-1-5 Goals 7:16 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.67

Lorient

L D W W L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 4

Le Havre 2wins ·2 draws ·Lorient 0wins

Le Havre 2-0 LorientMay 17, 2026

Le Havre 1-1 LorientSep 21, 2025

Le Havre 3-3 LorientJan 28, 2024

Le Havre 3-0 LorientSep 3, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Le Havre win31.0%

Draw30.2%

Lorient win38.8%

Over 1.5 goals67.1%

Over 2.5 goals30.5%

Over 3.5 goals19.5%

Both teams to score37.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

90.9%

Under 4.5 Goals

90.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

86.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)72.3%

Home or Draw (1X)66.4%

Draw or Away (X2)61.2%

Draw No Bet - Home53.6%

Both Halves Over 0.548.3%

Goal in Both Halves48.3%

Draw No Bet - Away46.4%

Home Win38.8%

Away Win33.6%

Draw27.7%

Exactly 1 Goal21.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.5%

Over 0.5 Goals90.9%

Under 4.5 Goals90.5%

Under 3.5 Goals78.0%

Over 1.5 Goals69.0%

1-3 Goals68.9%

2-4 Goals59.5%

Under 2.5 Goals57.1%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals48.0%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals42.9%

3-4 Goals33.4%

Under 1.5 Goals31.0%

Exactly 2 Goals26.2%

Over 3.5 Goals22.0%

4+ Goals22.0%

Exactly 3 Goals20.9%

Over 4.5 Goals9.5%

Under 0.5 Goals9.1%

Exactly 0 Goals9.1%

Over 5.5 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score71.4%

Away Team to Score68.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)51.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)48.6%

Home Clean Sheet31.9%

Away Clean Sheet28.6%

Home Win to Nil22.8%

Away Win to Nil19.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.571.4%

Away Over 0.568.1%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Home Exactly 135.8%

Home Over 1.535.6%

Away Exactly 031.9%

Away Over 1.531.7%

Home Exactly 028.6%

Home Exactly 222.4%

Away Exactly 220.8%

Home Over 2.513.2%

Home 3+ Goals13.2%

Away Over 2.510.8%

Away 3+ Goals10.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)66.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home66.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)38.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.8%

Home to win by 121.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.9%

Away to win by 119.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.2%

Home to win by 211.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.4%

Away to win by 29.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.8%

Home to win by 3+5.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.3%

Away to win by 3+4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.544.1%

BTTS & Over 2.535.6%

Home & No BTTS22.8%

Draw & Under 2.522.2%

Home & Over 2.520.2%

Away & No BTTS19.5%

Home & Under 2.518.6%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

Away & Over 2.517.2%

Away & Under 2.516.4%

Home & BTTS16.0%

Away & BTTS14.1%

BTTS & Under 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.3%

Draw & Over 2.55.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.570.7%

HT Over 0.565.9%

HT Draw44.6%

2nd Half More Goals42.1%

HT Under 0.534.1%

1st Half More Goals30.5%

HT Home Win29.3%

HT Over 1.529.3%

Equal Goals Each Half27.5%

HT Away Win26.1%

HT/FT Home/Home22.6%

HT/FT Away/Away19.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.7%

HT Both Teams Score17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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