France · Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Monaco

Kick-off 16:15 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Le Havre 27.2% Draw 26.1% Monaco 46.6%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 92%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

92%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Monaco: 7 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.7%

Exact-score model probability

Le Havre

W L D D D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Monaco

W L L W D D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 13:13 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 5

Le Havre 0wins ·3 draws ·Monaco 2wins

Le Havre 0-0 MonacoJan 24, 2026

Le Havre 1-3 MonacoAug 16, 2025

Le Havre 1-1 MonacoApr 26, 2025

Le Havre 1-3 MonacoSep 22, 2024

Le Havre 1-1 MonacoFeb 4, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Le Havre win27.2%

Draw26.1%

Monaco win46.6%

Over 1.5 goals78.0%

Over 2.5 goals95.4%

Over 3.5 goals31.2%

Both teams to score92.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.0%

Home Over 0.5

90.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.582.8%

Goal in Both Halves82.8%

Home or Away (12)81.3%

Draw or Away (X2)63.4%

Draw No Bet - Away55.2%

Home or Draw (1X)54.9%

Away Win44.9%

Draw No Bet - Home44.8%

Home Win36.4%

Draw18.5%

Exactly 1 Goal3.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.3%

Over 2.5 Goals86.3%

Over 3.5 Goals71.5%

4+ Goals71.5%

Under 5.5 Goals64.0%

Over 4.5 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals46.4%

2-4 Goals41.8%

Over 5.5 Goals36.0%

3-4 Goals32.7%

Under 3.5 Goals28.5%

1-3 Goals27.5%

2-3 Goals23.8%

Exactly 3 Goals14.7%

Under 2.5 Goals13.7%

1-2 Goals12.8%

Exactly 2 Goals9.1%

Under 1.5 Goals4.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.1%

Home Team to Score90.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.0%

Away Clean Sheet9.8%

Away Win to Nil9.1%

Home Clean Sheet7.7%

Home Win to Nil7.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.1%

Home Over 0.590.0%

Away Over 1.572.3%

Home Over 1.567.1%

Away Over 2.547.0%

Away 3+ Goals47.0%

Home Over 2.540.7%

Home 3+ Goals40.7%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Away Exactly 225.3%

Home Exactly 122.8%

Away Exactly 119.8%

Home Exactly 09.8%

Away Exactly 07.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home85.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)72.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home72.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)54.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home54.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)44.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)27.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away27.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.3%

Away to win by 117.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 115.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away14.6%

Away to win by 3+14.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 213.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.6%

Home to win by 210.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.1%

Home to win by 3+10.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.578.5%

Away & Over 2.540.4%

Away & BTTS35.8%

Home & Over 2.532.6%

Home & BTTS29.5%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Draw & Over 2.513.2%

Away & No BTTS9.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.8%

Home & No BTTS7.0%

Draw & Under 2.55.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Away & Under 2.54.4%

Home & Under 2.53.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.9%

HT Over 1.564.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Both Teams Score44.3%

HT Away Win38.2%

HT Under 1.535.6%

HT Home Win32.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw29.1%

HT/FT Away/Away28.8%

HT/FT Home/Home22.7%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.7%

HT Under 0.511.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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