France · Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain

Kick-off 19:00 · Fri, Oct 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

Le Havre 11.9% Draw 20.4% Paris Saint Germain 67.7%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

84%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Paris Saint Germain: 1 points versus 18 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Le Havre

L L L L D L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 7:13 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.17

Paris Saint Germain

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 18:7 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Le Havre 0wins ·1 draws ·Paris Saint Germain 4wins

Le Havre 0-1 Paris Saint GermainFeb 28, 2026

Le Havre 0-3 Paris Saint GermainNov 22, 2025

Le Havre 1-2 Paris Saint GermainApr 19, 2025

Le Havre 1-4 Paris Saint GermainAug 16, 2024

Le Havre 3-3 Paris Saint GermainApr 27, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Le Havre win11.9%

Draw20.4%

Paris Saint Germain win67.7%

Over 1.5 goals79.1%

Over 2.5 goals84.4%

Over 3.5 goals33.0%

Both teams to score57.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.5%

Home or Away (12)

89.2%

HT Over 0.5

85.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)93.3%

Draw No Bet - Away93.3%

Home or Away (12)89.2%

Away Win83.2%

Both Halves Over 0.576.6%

Goal in Both Halves76.6%

Home or Draw (1X)16.1%

Draw10.1%

Draw No Bet - Home6.7%

Exactly 1 Goal6.2%

Home Win6.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals91.5%

Over 2.5 Goals78.4%

Under 5.5 Goals75.8%

Over 3.5 Goals60.0%

4+ Goals60.0%

Under 4.5 Goals59.4%

2-4 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Over 4.5 Goals40.6%

Under 3.5 Goals40.0%

3-4 Goals37.9%

1-3 Goals37.8%

2-3 Goals31.5%

Over 5.5 Goals24.2%

Under 2.5 Goals21.6%

1-2 Goals19.3%

Exactly 3 Goals18.4%

Exactly 2 Goals13.1%

Under 1.5 Goals8.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

Home Team to Score57.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.5%

Away Clean Sheet41.7%

Away Win to Nil40.3%

Home Clean Sheet3.5%

Home Win to Nil2.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 1.584.0%

Away Over 2.564.3%

Away 3+ Goals64.3%

Home Over 0.557.5%

Home Exactly 041.7%

Home Exactly 136.2%

Home Over 1.521.3%

Away Exactly 219.7%

Home Exactly 215.7%

Away Exactly 111.8%

Home Over 2.55.7%

Home 3+ Goals5.7%

Away Exactly 03.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away93.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home84.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)83.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)70.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home70.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)66.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away66.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)52.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home52.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)46.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away46.8%

Away to win by 3+46.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)32.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home32.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away28.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.8%

Away to win by 219.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw18.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.6%

Away to win by 116.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home16.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away15.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw13.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw8.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away6.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.3%

Home to win by 14.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.3%

Home to win by 21.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.4%

Home to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.570.0%

BTTS & Over 2.551.2%

Away & BTTS42.9%

Away & No BTTS40.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.527.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.5%

Away & Under 2.513.2%

Draw & BTTS8.6%

Draw & Under 2.55.8%

Draw & Over 2.54.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.3%

Home & Over 2.54.2%

Home & BTTS4.0%

Home & No BTTS2.0%

Home & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.0%

HT Away Win65.5%

HT/FT Away/Away62.5%

HT Over 1.556.5%

2nd Half More Goals48.0%

HT Under 1.543.5%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw25.2%

HT Both Teams Score25.1%

Equal Goals Each Half19.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.8%

HT Under 0.515.0%

HT Home Win9.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT/FT Home/Home3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.2%

HT/FT Away/Home0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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