France · Ligue 1

Le Mans vs Lens

Kick-off 16:15 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

45% confidence

Le Mans 26.9% Draw 28.3% Lens 44.9%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 94%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

76%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Lens win at 44.9%.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Lens: 2 points versus 12 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Le Mans win

26.9%

1X2 model probability

Draw

28.3%

1X2 model probability

Lens win

44.9%

1X2 model probability

Le Mans

D L D

Form 0-2-1 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

Lens

W L L W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 16:8 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Le Mans win26.9%

Draw28.3%

Lens win44.9%

Over 1.5 goals72.0%

Over 2.5 goals97.7%

Over 3.5 goals24.0%

Both teams to score93.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

Home Team to Score

90.5%

Home Over 0.5

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.8%

Goal in Both Halves94.8%

Home or Away (12)83.0%

Draw or Away (X2)74.1%

Draw No Bet - Away74.0%

Away Win61.4%

Home or Draw (1X)34.3%

Draw No Bet - Home26.0%

Home Win21.6%

Draw12.7%

Exactly 1 Goal0.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.5%

Over 3.5 Goals89.4%

4+ Goals89.4%

Over 4.5 Goals81.8%

Over 5.5 Goals70.6%

Total Goals Odd47.8%

Total Goals Even47.8%

Under 5.5 Goals29.4%

Under 4.5 Goals18.2%

2-4 Goals13.3%

3-4 Goals11.7%

Under 3.5 Goals10.6%

Under 2.5 Goals6.5%

1-3 Goals6.2%

2-3 Goals5.8%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 3 Goals4.1%

1-2 Goals2.1%

Exactly 2 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.6%

Home Team to Score90.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.6%

Away Clean Sheet5.2%

Away Win to Nil5.2%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.6%

Home Over 0.590.5%

Away Over 1.589.6%

Away Over 2.578.4%

Away 3+ Goals78.4%

Home Over 1.575.3%

Home Over 2.553.2%

Home 3+ Goals53.2%

Home Exactly 222.1%

Home Exactly 115.2%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 05.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)91.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home85.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)76.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home76.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)74.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away74.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)63.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home63.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)61.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)48.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home48.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)46.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away46.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)34.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home34.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)32.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away32.2%

Away to win by 3+32.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away19.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.7%

Away to win by 114.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 214.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away10.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.5%

Home to win by 19.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.1%

Home to win by 26.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.0%

Home to win by 3+6.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.6%

Away & Over 2.560.5%

Away & BTTS56.2%

Home & Over 2.521.1%

Home & BTTS20.5%

Draw & BTTS12.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.9%

Away & No BTTS5.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.4%

Home & No BTTS1.0%

Draw & Under 2.50.9%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

BTTS & Under 2.50.8%

Home & Under 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.4%

HT Over 1.584.5%

HT Both Teams Score63.4%

HT Away Win53.9%

2nd Half More Goals53.2%

HT/FT Away/Away46.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Home Win24.6%

HT Draw21.5%

HT Under 1.515.5%

Equal Goals Each Half14.4%

HT/FT Home/Home13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.2%

HT/FT Home/Away6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT Under 0.53.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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