France · Ligue 1

Le Mans vs Lorient

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Sep 19

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Le Mans 41.3% Draw 28.5% Lorient 30.2%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lorient: 3 points versus 8 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.08 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

Le Mans

D D L D

Form 0-3-1 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.75 Conceded/game 2

Lorient

D W L D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Le Mans win41.3%

Draw28.5%

Lorient win30.2%

Over 1.5 goals72.0%

Over 2.5 goals85.8%

Over 3.5 goals24.1%

Both teams to score81.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

89.5%

HT Over 0.5

88.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.582.3%

Goal in Both Halves82.3%

Home or Away (12)82.0%

Draw or Away (X2)72.3%

Draw No Bet - Away66.6%

Away Win54.6%

Home or Draw (1X)45.1%

Draw No Bet - Home33.4%

Home Win27.4%

Draw17.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals95.0%

Over 2.5 Goals85.6%

Over 3.5 Goals70.5%

4+ Goals70.5%

Under 5.5 Goals65.2%

Over 4.5 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals47.7%

2-4 Goals42.7%

Over 5.5 Goals34.8%

3-4 Goals33.3%

Under 3.5 Goals29.5%

1-3 Goals28.4%

2-3 Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals15.1%

Under 2.5 Goals14.4%

1-2 Goals13.3%

Exactly 2 Goals9.4%

Under 1.5 Goals5.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.7%

Home Team to Score86.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.9%

Away Clean Sheet13.3%

Away Win to Nil12.5%

Home Clean Sheet6.1%

Home Win to Nil5.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.7%

Home Over 0.586.4%

Away Over 1.576.6%

Home Over 1.559.6%

Away Over 2.552.8%

Away 3+ Goals52.8%

Home Over 2.532.6%

Home 3+ Goals32.6%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 126.8%

Away Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 117.0%

Home Exactly 013.3%

Away Exactly 06.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away72.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)63.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home63.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)54.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)45.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home45.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)36.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away36.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)27.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.7%

Away to win by 3+20.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.5%

Away to win by 118.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.4%

Away to win by 215.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.3%

Home to win by 113.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.0%

Home to win by 28.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.2%

Home to win by 3+6.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.5%

Away & Over 2.549.2%

Away & BTTS42.1%

Home & Over 2.524.1%

Home & BTTS22.2%

Draw & BTTS16.9%

Away & No BTTS12.5%

Draw & Over 2.512.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Away & Under 2.55.5%

Draw & Under 2.55.4%

Home & No BTTS5.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Home & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.5%

HT Over 1.563.7%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT Away Win44.5%

HT Both Teams Score42.7%

HT Under 1.536.3%

HT/FT Away/Away36.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw28.8%

HT Home Win26.7%

Equal Goals Each Half18.3%

HT/FT Home/Home16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.6%

HT Under 0.511.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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