France · Ligue 1

Le Mans vs Monaco

Kick-off 17:15 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Le Mans 27.2% Draw 25.8% Monaco 46.9%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Monaco: 5 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.4%

Exact-score model probability

Le Mans

L D L L W D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:12 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

Monaco

L D L D W D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Le Mans win27.2%

Draw25.8%

Monaco win46.9%

Over 1.5 goals78.6%

Over 2.5 goals86.2%

Over 3.5 goals32.1%

Both teams to score82.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

89.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

89.7%

HT Over 0.5

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.582.6%

Goal in Both Halves82.6%

Home or Away (12)82.0%

Draw or Away (X2)71.5%

Draw No Bet - Away65.6%

Away Win53.8%

Home or Draw (1X)45.9%

Draw No Bet - Home34.4%

Home Win28.2%

Draw17.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals86.0%

Over 3.5 Goals71.1%

4+ Goals71.1%

Under 5.5 Goals64.4%

Over 4.5 Goals53.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals46.9%

2-4 Goals42.1%

Over 5.5 Goals35.6%

3-4 Goals32.9%

Under 3.5 Goals28.9%

1-3 Goals27.8%

2-3 Goals24.0%

Exactly 3 Goals14.9%

Under 2.5 Goals14.0%

1-2 Goals13.0%

Exactly 2 Goals9.2%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.6%

Home Team to Score86.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.4%

Away Clean Sheet12.8%

Away Win to Nil12.0%

Home Clean Sheet6.1%

Home Win to Nil5.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.6%

Home Over 0.586.9%

Away Over 1.576.6%

Home Over 1.560.7%

Away Over 2.552.8%

Away 3+ Goals52.8%

Home Over 2.533.7%

Home 3+ Goals33.7%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 126.3%

Away Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 117.0%

Home Exactly 012.8%

Away Exactly 06.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)64.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home64.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)45.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home45.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)35.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away35.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.3%

Away to win by 3+20.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.2%

Away to win by 215.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.5%

Home to win by 113.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.2%

Home to win by 28.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.5%

Home to win by 3+6.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.2%

Away & Over 2.548.6%

Away & BTTS41.8%

Home & Over 2.524.9%

Home & BTTS22.9%

Draw & BTTS16.9%

Draw & Over 2.512.5%

Away & No BTTS12.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Draw & Under 2.55.3%

Home & No BTTS5.3%

Away & Under 2.55.2%

BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Home & Under 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.7%

HT Over 1.564.2%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Away Win44.1%

HT Both Teams Score43.2%

HT Under 1.535.8%

HT/FT Away/Away35.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw28.7%

HT Home Win27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT/FT Home/Home17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.4%

HT Under 0.511.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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