Italy · Serie A

Lecce vs Juventus

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Lecce 16.5% Draw 27.0% Juventus 56.5%

Over 2.5 - 72% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

84%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Juventus: 6 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Lecce 0 wins, 2 draws, Juventus 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10%

Exact-score model probability

Lecce

W L L W L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 6:12 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

Juventus

L D W L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

Lecce 0wins ·2 draws ·Juventus 3wins

Lecce 0-1 JuventusMay 9, 2026

Lecce 1-1 JuventusJan 3, 2026

Lecce 1-2 JuventusApr 12, 2025

Lecce 1-1 JuventusDec 1, 2024

Lecce 0-3 JuventusJan 21, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lecce win16.5%

Draw27.0%

Juventus win56.5%

Over 1.5 goals62.5%

Over 2.5 goals71.8%

Over 3.5 goals16.3%

Both teams to score70.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.7%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.3%

Draw or Away (X2)78.3%

Draw No Bet - Away72.4%

Both Halves Over 0.561.9%

Goal in Both Halves61.9%

Away Win56.7%

Home or Draw (1X)43.3%

Draw No Bet - Home27.6%

Draw21.7%

Home Win21.6%

Exactly 1 Goal13.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Under 5.5 Goals90.4%

Over 1.5 Goals81.8%

Under 4.5 Goals79.5%

Under 3.5 Goals62.1%

2-4 Goals61.3%

Over 2.5 Goals60.3%

1-3 Goals57.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals39.8%

Under 2.5 Goals39.7%

Over 3.5 Goals37.9%

4+ Goals37.9%

1-2 Goals35.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals20.5%

Under 1.5 Goals18.2%

Over 5.5 Goals9.6%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals4.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.1%

Home Team to Score68.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.3%

Away Clean Sheet31.8%

Away Win to Nil27.4%

Home Clean Sheet13.9%

Home Win to Nil9.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.1%

Home Over 0.568.1%

Away Over 1.558.7%

Home Exactly 136.4%

Home Exactly 031.8%

Home Over 1.531.7%

Away Over 2.531.7%

Away 3+ Goals31.7%

Away Exactly 127.4%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 220.8%

Away Exactly 013.9%

Home Over 2.510.9%

Home 3+ Goals10.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home83.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)66.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home66.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)56.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)43.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home43.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)33.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away33.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.1%

Away to win by 123.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.3%

Away to win by 217.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away16.3%

Away to win by 3+16.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 113.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.8%

Home to win by 25.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.5%

Home to win by 3+2.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.7%

Away & Over 2.539.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.7%

Away & BTTS29.2%

Away & No BTTS27.4%

Away & Under 2.517.3%

Draw & BTTS17.3%

Draw & Under 2.514.4%

Home & Over 2.513.7%

Home & BTTS12.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.6%

BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Home & No BTTS9.4%

Home & Under 2.57.9%

Draw & Over 2.57.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.4%

HT Under 1.559.0%

2nd Half More Goals45.0%

HT Away Win42.6%

HT Over 1.541.0%

HT Draw37.2%

HT/FT Away/Away36.2%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Under 0.524.6%

HT Both Teams Score23.7%

Equal Goals Each Half23.5%

HT Home Win20.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.2%

HT/FT Home/Home12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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