England · Premier League

Leeds vs Tottenham

Kick-off 13:30 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Leeds 45.6% Draw 28.9% Tottenham 25.5%

Over 2.5 - 55% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Tottenham: 6 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.1%

Exact-score model probability

Leeds

L D D L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Tottenham

W W W D L D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 5

Leeds 0wins ·1 draws ·Tottenham 4wins

Leeds 1-1 TottenhamMay 11, 2026

Leeds 1-2 TottenhamOct 4, 2025

Leeds 1-4 TottenhamMay 28, 2023

Leeds 3-4 TottenhamNov 12, 2022

Leeds 0-4 TottenhamFeb 26, 2022

📈 Probability Breakdown

Leeds win45.6%

Draw28.9%

Tottenham win25.5%

Over 1.5 goals71.0%

Over 2.5 goals54.7%

Over 3.5 goals22.8%

Both teams to score57.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

89.9%

Under 5.5 Goals

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.0%

Draw or Away (X2)66.7%

Both Halves Over 0.564.2%

Goal in Both Halves64.2%

Draw No Bet - Away56.8%

Home or Draw (1X)56.2%

Away Win43.7%

Draw No Bet - Home43.2%

Home Win33.3%

Draw23.0%

Exactly 1 Goal12.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.2%

Under 5.5 Goals88.7%

Over 1.5 Goals83.7%

Under 4.5 Goals76.9%

Over 2.5 Goals63.4%

2-4 Goals60.6%

Under 3.5 Goals58.8%

1-3 Goals55.0%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.5%

Over 3.5 Goals41.2%

4+ Goals41.2%

3-4 Goals40.2%

Under 2.5 Goals36.6%

1-2 Goals32.8%

Over 4.5 Goals23.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Exactly 2 Goals20.4%

Under 1.5 Goals16.3%

Over 5.5 Goals11.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.8%

Exactly 0 Goals3.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score82.7%

Home Team to Score77.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.6%

Away Clean Sheet22.1%

Away Win to Nil18.3%

Home Clean Sheet17.3%

Home Win to Nil13.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.582.7%

Home Over 0.577.9%

Away Over 1.552.4%

Home Over 1.544.5%

Home Exactly 133.4%

Away Exactly 130.3%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Over 2.525.8%

Away 3+ Goals25.8%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Home Exactly 022.1%

Home Over 2.519.3%

Home 3+ Goals19.3%

Away Exactly 017.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home76.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)66.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away66.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)33.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)23.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away23.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.5%

Away to win by 120.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.6%

Home to win by 117.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.2%

Away to win by 213.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.1%

Away to win by 3+10.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.7%

Home to win by 29.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.9%

Home to win by 3+5.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.554.3%

Away & Over 2.531.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.5%

Away & BTTS25.4%

Home & Over 2.523.2%

Home & BTTS19.8%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Away & No BTTS18.3%

Draw & Under 2.513.9%

Home & No BTTS13.4%

Away & Under 2.512.6%

Home & Under 2.510.1%

BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Draw & Over 2.59.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.0%

HT Under 1.556.8%

2nd Half More Goals45.5%

HT Over 1.543.2%

HT Draw37.1%

HT Away Win34.7%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Home Win28.2%

HT Both Teams Score26.9%

HT/FT Away/Away26.8%

HT Under 0.523.0%

Equal Goals Each Half22.8%

HT/FT Home/Home19.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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