England · League Cup

Leicester vs Northampton

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Leicester 32.5% Draw 30.1% Northampton 37.4%

Over 2.5 - 47% BTTS - 53%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 0.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.7%

Exact-score model probability

Leicester

W L W D W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

Northampton

No recent results stored yet

📈 Probability Breakdown

Leicester win32.5%

Draw30.1%

Northampton win37.4%

Over 1.5 goals73.6%

Over 2.5 goals46.5%

Over 3.5 goals25.0%

Both teams to score53.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

88.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

85.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

85.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)73.3%

Draw or Away (X2)65.9%

Home or Draw (1X)60.9%

Draw No Bet - Away53.4%

Both Halves Over 0.551.1%

Goal in Both Halves51.1%

Draw No Bet - Home46.6%

Away Win39.1%

Home Win34.1%

Draw26.7%

Exactly 1 Goal20.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.6%

Over 0.5 Goals92.1%

Under 4.5 Goals88.7%

Under 3.5 Goals75.0%

Over 1.5 Goals72.0%

1-3 Goals67.1%

2-4 Goals60.6%

Under 2.5 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.5%

1-2 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals35.1%

Under 1.5 Goals28.0%

Exactly 2 Goals25.5%

Over 3.5 Goals25.0%

4+ Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals11.3%

Under 0.5 Goals7.9%

Exactly 0 Goals7.9%

Over 5.5 Goals4.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score73.3%

Home Team to Score70.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)51.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.5%

Away Clean Sheet29.7%

Home Clean Sheet26.7%

Away Win to Nil21.8%

Home Win to Nil18.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.573.3%

Home Over 0.570.3%

Away Over 1.538.0%

Home Exactly 136.1%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Home Over 1.534.2%

Home Exactly 029.7%

Away Exactly 026.7%

Away Exactly 223.3%

Home Exactly 221.9%

Away Over 2.514.8%

Away 3+ Goals14.8%

Home Over 2.512.4%

Home 3+ Goals12.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.4%

Away to win by 121.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.7%

Home to win by 119.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.4%

Away to win by 211.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.7%

Home to win by 29.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.3%

Away to win by 3+6.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.7%

Home to win by 3+4.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.540.8%

BTTS & Over 2.538.8%

Away & Over 2.521.8%

Away & No BTTS21.8%

Draw & Under 2.520.6%

Home & No BTTS18.8%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

Home & Over 2.518.6%

Away & Under 2.517.4%

Away & BTTS17.4%

Home & Under 2.515.5%

Home & BTTS15.3%

BTTS & Under 2.512.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.568.4%

HT Over 0.568.0%

HT Draw43.2%

2nd Half More Goals42.7%

HT Under 0.532.0%

HT Over 1.531.6%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

HT Away Win29.9%

HT Home Win26.8%

Equal Goals Each Half26.5%

HT/FT Away/Away22.9%

HT/FT Home/Home19.6%

HT Both Teams Score18.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Leicester win50%

Draw50%

Northampton win0%

AdviceDouble chance : Leicester or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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