UEFA Champions League

Lens vs Como

Kick-off 21:00 · Wed, Nov 4

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Lens 22.7% Draw 18.5% Como 58.8%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Como: 9 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Lens

L W L W L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Como

W W W W W L

Form 5-0-1 Goals 15:6 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lens win22.7%

Draw18.5%

Como win58.8%

Over 1.5 goals95.2%

Over 2.5 goals84.2%

Over 3.5 goals68.1%

Both teams to score79.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

88.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.5%

Both Halves Over 0.580.9%

Goal in Both Halves80.9%

Draw or Away (X2)76.4%

Draw No Bet - Away71.8%

Away Win59.2%

Home or Draw (1X)40.5%

Draw No Bet - Home28.2%

Home Win23.3%

Draw17.2%

Exactly 1 Goal4.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.3%

Over 2.5 Goals84.0%

Under 5.5 Goals68.0%

Over 3.5 Goals67.9%

4+ Goals67.9%

Under 4.5 Goals50.7%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals49.3%

2-4 Goals45.0%

3-4 Goals34.7%

Under 3.5 Goals32.1%

Over 5.5 Goals32.0%

1-3 Goals30.8%

2-3 Goals26.4%

Under 2.5 Goals16.0%

Exactly 3 Goals16.0%

1-2 Goals14.8%

Exactly 2 Goals10.3%

Under 1.5 Goals5.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.9%

Home Team to Score83.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.5%

Away Clean Sheet16.4%

Away Win to Nil15.4%

Home Clean Sheet5.8%

Home Win to Nil4.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.9%

Home Over 0.583.3%

Away Over 1.577.4%

Away Over 2.553.8%

Away 3+ Goals53.8%

Home Over 1.553.7%

Home Exactly 129.6%

Home Over 2.527.0%

Home 3+ Goals27.0%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 223.5%

Away Exactly 116.5%

Home Exactly 016.4%

Away Exactly 05.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)76.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away76.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)59.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home59.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)59.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)40.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home40.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)23.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away23.7%

Away to win by 3+23.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.0%

Away to win by 119.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.6%

Away to win by 216.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.1%

Home to win by 112.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away12.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.7%

Home to win by 26.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.5%

Home to win by 3+4.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.5%

Away & Over 2.552.7%

Away & BTTS43.8%

Home & Over 2.520.0%

Home & BTTS18.4%

Draw & BTTS16.2%

Away & No BTTS15.4%

Draw & Over 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.4%

Away & Under 2.56.6%

Draw & Under 2.55.9%

Home & No BTTS4.9%

BTTS & Under 2.54.9%

Home & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.7%

HT Over 1.561.8%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Away Win47.4%

HT Both Teams Score40.1%

HT/FT Away/Away39.9%

HT Under 1.538.2%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.9%

HT Home Win23.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.6%

HT/FT Home/Home13.8%

HT Under 0.512.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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