France · Ligue 1

Lens vs Paris FC

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Lens 52.3% Draw 25.8% Paris FC 21.9%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

78%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Paris FC: 7 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.5%

Exact-score model probability

Lens

L W L W L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Paris FC

L W D W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 2

Lens 2wins ·0 draws ·Paris FC 0wins

Lens 5-0 Paris FCFeb 14, 2026

Lens 2-1 Paris FCOct 19, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lens win52.3%

Draw25.8%

Paris FC win21.9%

Over 1.5 goals73.6%

Over 2.5 goals77.8%

Over 3.5 goals26.2%

Both teams to score76.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.3%

Over 1.5 Goals

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.1%

Home or Draw (1X)79.8%

Draw No Bet - Home75.6%

Both Halves Over 0.575.1%

Goal in Both Halves75.1%

Home Win62.1%

Draw or Away (X2)37.8%

Draw No Bet - Away24.4%

Away Win20.0%

Draw17.8%

Exactly 1 Goal6.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals91.2%

Under 5.5 Goals77.5%

Over 2.5 Goals77.1%

Under 4.5 Goals61.6%

Over 3.5 Goals57.9%

4+ Goals57.9%

2-4 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals42.1%

1-3 Goals40.2%

3-4 Goals38.7%

Over 4.5 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals33.3%

Under 2.5 Goals22.9%

Over 5.5 Goals22.5%

1-2 Goals21.0%

Exactly 3 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals14.1%

Under 1.5 Goals8.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.5%

Away Team to Score76.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)71.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.9%

Home Clean Sheet23.1%

Home Win to Nil21.4%

Away Clean Sheet7.3%

Away Win to Nil5.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.5%

Away Over 0.576.7%

Home Over 1.573.4%

Home Over 2.548.3%

Home 3+ Goals48.3%

Away Over 1.542.9%

Away Exactly 133.8%

Home Exactly 225.0%

Away Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 023.1%

Home Exactly 119.2%

Away Over 2.518.1%

Away 3+ Goals18.1%

Home Exactly 07.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)41.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home41.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)37.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away37.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.9%

Home to win by 3+23.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 120.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 217.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.4%

Away to win by 111.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.6%

Away to win by 25.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.0%

Away to win by 3+3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.564.6%

Home & Over 2.551.8%

Home & BTTS40.6%

Home & No BTTS21.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.2%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

Away & Over 2.515.7%

Away & BTTS14.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.5%

Home & Under 2.510.2%

Draw & Over 2.59.6%

Draw & Under 2.58.2%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Away & No BTTS5.6%

Away & Under 2.54.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.0%

HT Over 1.554.7%

HT Home Win48.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.3%

HT/FT Home/Home41.7%

HT Both Teams Score33.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.0%

HT Away Win20.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.1%

HT Under 0.516.0%

HT/FT Away/Away11.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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