UEFA Champions League

Lens vs Sporting CP

Kick-off 17:45 · Tue, Oct 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Lens 22.6% Draw 15.3% Sporting CP 62.1%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 88%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

88%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Sporting CP: 7 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.5%

Exact-score model probability

Lens

W L D W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Sporting CP

W D D W W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 15:5 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lens win22.6%

Draw15.3%

Sporting CP win62.1%

Over 1.5 goals98.5%

Over 2.5 goals93.7%

Over 3.5 goals84.7%

Both teams to score88.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

90.3%

Both Halves Over 0.5

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.9%

Goal in Both Halves89.9%

Home or Away (12)84.1%

Draw or Away (X2)76.1%

Draw No Bet - Away73.2%

Away Win61.5%

Home or Draw (1X)37.1%

Draw No Bet - Home26.8%

Home Win22.5%

Draw14.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals96.9%

Over 2.5 Goals92.5%

Over 3.5 Goals83.6%

4+ Goals83.6%

Over 4.5 Goals70.2%

Over 5.5 Goals54.2%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Under 5.5 Goals45.8%

Under 4.5 Goals29.8%

2-4 Goals26.7%

3-4 Goals22.3%

Under 3.5 Goals16.4%

1-3 Goals14.8%

2-3 Goals13.3%

Exactly 3 Goals8.9%

Under 2.5 Goals7.5%

1-2 Goals5.9%

Exactly 2 Goals4.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.1%

Home Team to Score89.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.1%

Away Clean Sheet9.5%

Away Win to Nil9.2%

Home Clean Sheet2.6%

Home Win to Nil2.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 0.589.2%

Away Over 1.586.7%

Away Over 2.569.4%

Away 3+ Goals69.4%

Home Over 1.567.0%

Home Over 2.541.0%

Home 3+ Goals41.0%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Home Exactly 122.2%

Away Exactly 217.2%

Home Exactly 09.5%

Away Exactly 19.4%

Away Exactly 02.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home90.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home81.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away76.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home69.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)61.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)53.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home53.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)44.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away44.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)37.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home37.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away29.3%

Away to win by 3+29.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)22.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)16.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away16.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.6%

Away to win by 116.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.7%

Away to win by 215.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.6%

Home to win by 110.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.4%

Home to win by 26.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.4%

Home to win by 3+5.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.7%

Away & Over 2.559.0%

Away & BTTS52.3%

Home & Over 2.521.3%

Home & BTTS20.2%

Draw & BTTS14.3%

Draw & Over 2.512.2%

Away & No BTTS9.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Away & Under 2.52.6%

Draw & Under 2.52.4%

Home & No BTTS2.3%

BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Home & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.3%

HT Over 1.575.2%

HT Both Teams Score52.6%

2nd Half More Goals51.4%

HT Away Win51.2%

HT/FT Away/Away43.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.524.8%

HT Draw24.5%

HT Home Win24.3%

Equal Goals Each Half16.2%

HT/FT Home/Home13.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.3%

HT Under 0.56.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.0%

HT/FT Home/Away6.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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