Mexico · Liga MX

Leon vs Atletico San Luis

● LIVE 45' · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Leon 71.4% Draw 14.7% Atletico San Luis 13.9%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Leon: 10 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

Leon

L D W W W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Atletico San Luis

L W D L D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Leon win71.4%

Draw14.7%

Atletico San Luis win13.9%

Over 1.5 goals96.4%

Over 2.5 goals87.3%

Over 3.5 goals73.1%

Both teams to score77.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)85.6%

Home or Draw (1X)84.8%

Both Halves Over 0.583.6%

Goal in Both Halves83.6%

Draw No Bet - Home83.3%

Home Win71.3%

Draw or Away (X2)27.9%

Draw No Bet - Away16.7%

Away Win14.3%

Draw13.6%

Exactly 1 Goal3.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.1%

Over 2.5 Goals86.6%

Over 3.5 Goals72.5%

4+ Goals72.5%

Under 5.5 Goals62.7%

Over 4.5 Goals54.9%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 4.5 Goals45.1%

2-4 Goals40.2%

Over 5.5 Goals37.3%

3-4 Goals31.7%

Under 3.5 Goals27.5%

1-3 Goals26.0%

2-3 Goals22.6%

Exactly 3 Goals14.1%

Under 2.5 Goals13.4%

1-2 Goals11.9%

Exactly 2 Goals8.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score78.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.8%

Home Clean Sheet20.3%

Home Win to Nil19.6%

Away Clean Sheet3.3%

Away Win to Nil2.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Home Over 1.584.5%

Away Over 0.578.9%

Home Over 2.565.2%

Home 3+ Goals65.2%

Away Over 1.546.7%

Away Exactly 132.2%

Away Exactly 225.6%

Away Over 2.521.2%

Away 3+ Goals21.2%

Away Exactly 020.3%

Home Exactly 219.3%

Home Exactly 111.4%

Home Exactly 03.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)71.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)63.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away63.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)53.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home53.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.7%

Home to win by 3+35.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)27.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away27.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 218.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.6%

Home to win by 117.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 18.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.9%

Away to win by 23.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.2%

Away to win by 3+2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.6%

Home & Over 2.565.0%

Home & BTTS51.7%

Home & No BTTS19.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.0%

Draw & BTTS12.9%

Away & Over 2.512.4%

Away & BTTS11.7%

Draw & Over 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.9%

Home & Under 2.56.3%

Draw & Under 2.54.4%

BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Away & No BTTS2.7%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.4%

HT Over 1.565.6%

HT Home Win56.8%

HT/FT Home/Home51.2%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Both Teams Score40.0%

HT Under 1.534.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw25.8%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT Away Win17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.7%

HT Under 0.510.6%

HT/FT Away/Away8.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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