Mexico · Liga MX

Leon vs Club America

● LIVE 45' · 0:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Leon 70.8% Draw 17.9% Club America 11.3%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Leon

D W D W L D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Club America

D D D L W W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 12:10 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Leon win70.8%

Draw17.9%

Club America win11.3%

Over 1.5 goals88.1%

Over 2.5 goals69.3%

Over 3.5 goals48.0%

Both teams to score59.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

87.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

87.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.7%

Draw No Bet - Home85.4%

Home or Away (12)83.8%

Home Win71.6%

Both Halves Over 0.568.9%

Goal in Both Halves68.9%

Draw or Away (X2)28.3%

Draw16.1%

Draw No Bet - Away14.6%

Away Win12.2%

Exactly 1 Goal10.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals87.1%

Under 5.5 Goals84.8%

Under 4.5 Goals71.2%

Over 2.5 Goals69.2%

2-4 Goals58.3%

Under 3.5 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.2%

Over 3.5 Goals47.9%

4+ Goals47.9%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.2%

Under 2.5 Goals30.8%

Over 4.5 Goals28.8%

1-2 Goals27.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.9%

Over 5.5 Goals15.2%

Under 1.5 Goals12.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.4%

Away Team to Score62.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.0%

Home Clean Sheet37.1%

Home Win to Nil34.3%

Away Clean Sheet7.5%

Away Win to Nil4.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.4%

Home Over 1.572.9%

Away Over 0.562.8%

Home Over 2.547.8%

Home 3+ Goals47.8%

Away Exactly 037.1%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Over 1.526.0%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Home Exactly 119.4%

Away Exactly 218.2%

Away Over 2.57.8%

Away 3+ Goals7.8%

Home Exactly 07.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)71.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)70.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away70.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home29.8%

Home to win by 3+29.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.4%

Home to win by 121.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 220.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 18.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 23.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.555.0%

BTTS & Over 2.550.9%

Home & BTTS37.3%

Home & No BTTS34.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.3%

Home & Under 2.516.6%

Draw & BTTS13.3%

Draw & Under 2.59.9%

Away & Over 2.58.1%

Away & BTTS7.5%

BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Draw & Over 2.56.1%

Away & No BTTS4.7%

Away & Under 2.54.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.0%

HT Home Win54.1%

HT Under 1.552.1%

HT/FT Home/Home49.3%

HT Over 1.547.9%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw31.8%

HT Both Teams Score24.7%

Equal Goals Each Half21.7%

HT Under 0.520.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.7%

HT Away Win14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT/FT Away/Away6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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