Mexico · Liga MX

Leon vs Monterrey

Full time · 2:0

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

72% confidence

Leon 14.1% Draw 13.5% Monterrey 72.4%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 82%

✓ Pick was correct (2:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 6.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Monterrey: 6 points versus 9 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.25 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.2%

Exact-score model probability

Leon

W W L L

Form 2-0-2 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1.25

Monterrey

W W L W

Form 3-0-1 Goals 12:5 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 1.25

📈 Probability Breakdown

Leon win14.1%

Draw13.5%

Monterrey win72.4%

Over 1.5 goals97.8%

Over 2.5 goals91.3%

Over 3.5 goals80.1%

Both teams to score81.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.8%

Over 2.5 Goals

90.0%

Both Halves Over 0.5

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.4%

Goal in Both Halves87.4%

Home or Away (12)85.9%

Draw or Away (X2)84.3%

Draw No Bet - Away83.4%

Away Win71.7%

Home or Draw (1X)26.8%

Draw No Bet - Home16.6%

Home Win14.2%

Draw12.6%

Exactly 1 Goal2.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.0%

Over 2.5 Goals90.0%

Over 3.5 Goals78.9%

4+ Goals78.9%

Over 4.5 Goals63.5%

Under 5.5 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Over 5.5 Goals46.4%

Under 4.5 Goals36.5%

2-4 Goals32.5%

3-4 Goals26.5%

Under 3.5 Goals21.1%

1-3 Goals19.3%

2-3 Goals17.1%

Exactly 3 Goals11.1%

Under 2.5 Goals10.0%

1-2 Goals8.2%

Exactly 2 Goals6.0%

Under 1.5 Goals4.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.2%

Home Team to Score82.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.8%

Away Clean Sheet16.3%

Away Win to Nil15.9%

Home Clean Sheet2.4%

Home Win to Nil2.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.2%

Away Over 1.587.3%

Home Over 0.582.2%

Away Over 2.570.8%

Away 3+ Goals70.8%

Home Over 1.552.8%

Home Exactly 129.4%

Home Over 2.526.4%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Home 3+ Goals26.4%

Away Exactly 216.5%

Home Exactly 016.3%

Away Exactly 18.8%

Away Exactly 02.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)93.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home86.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away84.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home75.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)71.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)60.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home60.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)55.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away55.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)43.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home43.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)38.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away38.1%

Away to win by 3+38.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)26.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home26.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)23.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away23.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.2%

Away to win by 217.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.4%

Away to win by 116.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)14.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away12.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.8%

Home to win by 17.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.0%

Home to win by 24.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.4%

Home to win by 3+2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.6%

Away & Over 2.567.5%

Away & BTTS55.7%

Away & No BTTS15.9%

Home & Over 2.512.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.4%

Home & BTTS12.3%

Draw & BTTS12.2%

Draw & Over 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.9%

Away & Under 2.54.2%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Home & No BTTS2.0%

Home & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.8%

HT Over 1.571.2%

HT Away Win58.3%

HT/FT Away/Away52.6%

2nd Half More Goals50.6%

HT Both Teams Score45.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.8%

HT Draw24.0%

HT Home Win17.8%

Equal Goals Each Half16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.9%

HT/FT Home/Home8.3%

HT Under 0.58.2%

HT/FT Home/Away5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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