Spain · La Liga

Levante vs Athletic Club

Kick-off 20:30 · Wed, Sep 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Levante 40.7% Draw 26.6% Athletic Club 32.6%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 94%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

74%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.4%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Athletic Club: 5 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.4%

Exact-score model probability

Levante

L D W D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Athletic Club

D W W L L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 4

Levante 0wins ·1 draws ·Athletic Club 3wins

Levante 2-4 Athletic ClubFeb 8, 2026

Levante 0-2 Athletic ClubNov 29, 2025

Levante 1-3 Athletic ClubMar 7, 2022

Levante 0-0 Athletic ClubNov 19, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Levante win40.7%

Draw26.6%

Athletic Club win32.6%

Over 1.5 goals74.0%

Over 2.5 goals48.8%

Over 3.5 goals27.0%

Both teams to score94.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

89.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

89.7%

Both Halves Over 0.5

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.6%

Goal in Both Halves89.6%

Home or Away (12)82.7%

Home or Draw (1X)64.4%

Draw No Bet - Home58.0%

Draw or Away (X2)51.3%

Home Win47.9%

Draw No Bet - Away42.0%

Away Win34.8%

Draw16.5%

Exactly 1 Goal1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals97.4%

Over 2.5 Goals92.8%

Over 3.5 Goals83.7%

4+ Goals83.7%

Over 4.5 Goals70.1%

Over 5.5 Goals53.9%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 5.5 Goals46.1%

Under 4.5 Goals29.9%

2-4 Goals27.3%

3-4 Goals22.7%

Under 3.5 Goals16.3%

1-3 Goals15.3%

2-3 Goals13.7%

Exactly 3 Goals9.1%

Under 2.5 Goals7.2%

1-2 Goals6.2%

Exactly 2 Goals4.6%

Under 1.5 Goals2.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.1%

Away Team to Score93.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.9%

Home Clean Sheet6.3%

Home Win to Nil6.0%

Away Clean Sheet4.1%

Away Win to Nil3.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.1%

Away Over 0.593.0%

Home Over 1.582.0%

Away Over 1.575.6%

Home Over 2.561.1%

Home 3+ Goals61.1%

Away Over 2.551.7%

Away 3+ Goals51.7%

Away Exactly 223.9%

Home Exactly 220.9%

Away Exactly 117.3%

Home Exactly 113.1%

Away Exactly 06.3%

Home Exactly 04.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.6%

Home to win by 3+18.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.2%

Home to win by 116.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.0%

Away to win by 114.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.2%

Home to win by 213.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.9%

Away to win by 3+10.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.9%

Away to win by 29.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.586.8%

Home & Over 2.545.8%

Home & BTTS41.9%

Away & Over 2.533.1%

Away & BTTS30.9%

Draw & BTTS16.2%

Draw & Over 2.514.0%

Home & No BTTS6.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Away & No BTTS3.9%

Draw & Under 2.52.6%

BTTS & Under 2.52.3%

Home & Under 2.52.2%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.1%

HT Over 1.574.7%

HT Both Teams Score54.2%

2nd Half More Goals51.3%

HT Home Win41.5%

HT Away Win32.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Home/Home31.9%

HT Draw25.8%

HT Under 1.525.3%

HT/FT Away/Away22.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.7%

HT Under 0.56.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.9%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away4.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions