Spain · La Liga

Levante vs Athletic Club

Full time · 3:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Levante 39.6% Draw 27.7% Athletic Club 32.7%

Over 2.5 - 47% BTTS - 82%

✓ Pick was correct (3:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

75%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 6.2%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Athletic Club: 6 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.2%

Exact-score model probability

Levante

D D L L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 12:13 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2.17

Athletic Club

D D D W W L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 4

Levante 0wins ·1 draws ·Athletic Club 3wins

Levante 2-4 Athletic ClubFeb 8, 2026

Levante 0-2 Athletic ClubNov 29, 2025

Levante 1-3 Athletic ClubMar 7, 2022

Levante 0-0 Athletic ClubNov 19, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Levante win39.6%

Draw27.7%

Athletic Club win32.7%

Over 1.5 goals72.8%

Over 2.5 goals46.9%

Over 3.5 goals25.3%

Both teams to score82.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

87.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.583.4%

Goal in Both Halves83.4%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Home or Draw (1X)75.6%

Draw No Bet - Home71.0%

Home Win58.9%

Draw or Away (X2)40.7%

Draw No Bet - Away29.0%

Away Win24.0%

Draw16.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals95.4%

Over 2.5 Goals86.8%

Over 3.5 Goals72.5%

4+ Goals72.5%

Under 5.5 Goals62.8%

Over 4.5 Goals54.8%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals45.2%

2-4 Goals40.6%

Over 5.5 Goals37.2%

3-4 Goals32.0%

Under 3.5 Goals27.5%

1-3 Goals26.4%

2-3 Goals22.9%

Exactly 3 Goals14.3%

Under 2.5 Goals13.2%

1-2 Goals12.1%

Exactly 2 Goals8.6%

Under 1.5 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.6%

Away Team to Score85.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.7%

Home Clean Sheet14.1%

Home Win to Nil13.4%

Away Clean Sheet5.0%

Away Win to Nil4.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.6%

Away Over 0.585.5%

Home Over 1.579.7%

Away Over 1.558.0%

Home Over 2.557.2%

Home 3+ Goals57.2%

Away Over 2.531.1%

Away 3+ Goals31.1%

Away Exactly 127.5%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 222.4%

Home Exactly 115.0%

Away Exactly 014.1%

Home Exactly 05.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)59.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away59.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)58.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)40.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home40.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.3%

Home to win by 3+24.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.2%

Home to win by 216.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.0%

Away to win by 112.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.9%

Away to win by 26.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.1%

Away to win by 3+5.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.1%

Home & Over 2.553.6%

Home & BTTS45.5%

Away & Over 2.521.3%

Away & BTTS19.7%

Draw & BTTS16.0%

Home & No BTTS13.4%

Draw & Over 2.511.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Home & Under 2.55.3%

Draw & Under 2.54.8%

Away & No BTTS4.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Away & Under 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.2%

HT Over 1.565.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Home Win47.7%

HT Both Teams Score43.4%

HT/FT Home/Home39.9%

HT Under 1.534.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.9%

HT Away Win24.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Away/Away14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.1%

HT Under 0.510.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.8%

HT/FT Away/Home5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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