Spain · La Liga

Levante vs Atletico Madrid

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Levante 26.4% Draw 24.8% Atletico Madrid 48.8%

Over 2.5 - 57% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

80%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Atletico Madrid: 5 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

Levante

L W D D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 11:14 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Atletico Madrid

W D W W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 9:3 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 4

Levante 1wins ·2 draws ·Atletico Madrid 1wins

Levante 0-0 Atletico MadridJan 31, 2026

Levante 1-3 Atletico MadridNov 8, 2025

Levante 1-0 Atletico MadridFeb 16, 2022

Levante 2-2 Atletico MadridOct 28, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Levante win26.4%

Draw24.8%

Atletico Madrid win48.8%

Over 1.5 goals80.4%

Over 2.5 goals57.2%

Over 3.5 goals34.8%

Both teams to score92.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.0%

Home Over 0.5

91.0%

HT Over 0.5

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.583.8%

Goal in Both Halves83.8%

Home or Away (12)81.5%

Draw or Away (X2)61.5%

Home or Draw (1X)56.6%

Draw No Bet - Away53.0%

Draw No Bet - Home47.0%

Away Win43.2%

Home Win38.3%

Draw18.3%

Exactly 1 Goal3.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals87.4%

Over 3.5 Goals73.4%

4+ Goals73.4%

Under 5.5 Goals61.7%

Over 4.5 Goals55.9%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals44.1%

2-4 Goals39.9%

Over 5.5 Goals38.3%

3-4 Goals31.5%

Under 3.5 Goals26.6%

1-3 Goals25.7%

2-3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 3 Goals14.0%

Under 2.5 Goals12.6%

1-2 Goals11.7%

Exactly 2 Goals8.4%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.2%

Home Team to Score91.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.9%

Away Clean Sheet8.8%

Away Win to Nil8.1%

Home Clean Sheet7.6%

Home Win to Nil6.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.2%

Home Over 0.591.0%

Away Over 1.572.6%

Home Over 1.569.7%

Away Over 2.547.4%

Away 3+ Goals47.4%

Home Over 2.543.7%

Home 3+ Goals43.7%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Away Exactly 225.2%

Home Exactly 121.3%

Away Exactly 119.6%

Home Exactly 08.8%

Away Exactly 07.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home85.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)38.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home22.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.8%

Away to win by 116.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 115.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.9%

Away to win by 3+13.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.5%

Away to win by 212.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.3%

Home to win by 3+11.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.1%

Home to win by 211.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.9%

Away & Over 2.539.3%

Away & BTTS35.1%

Home & Over 2.534.7%

Home & BTTS31.3%

Draw & BTTS17.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.2%

Away & No BTTS8.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.5%

Home & No BTTS6.9%

Draw & Under 2.54.8%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Away & Under 2.53.9%

Home & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.5%

HT Over 1.565.9%

2nd Half More Goals49.7%

HT Both Teams Score45.7%

HT Away Win37.3%

HT Under 1.534.1%

HT Home Win34.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw28.7%

HT/FT Away/Away27.7%

HT/FT Home/Home24.1%

Equal Goals Each Half17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.2%

HT Under 0.510.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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