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Spain · La Liga

Levante vs Barcelona

Kick-off 15:15 · Sun, Sep 13
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
67% confidence
Levante 14.9% Draw 17.8% Barcelona 67.2%
Over 2.5 - 67% BTTS - 93%
🎯 Best Pick
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
93%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
86%
Draw or Away (X2)
Double chance from Poisson
85%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.6%, based on the goal model.
BTTS Poisson estimate
Recent form leans to Barcelona: 8 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.16 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
2-3
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
5.6%
Exact-score model probability
Levante
D W D L L W
Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17
Barcelona
W W W W W L
Form 5-0-1 Goals 23:6 Scored/game 3.83 Conceded/game 1
Head to head · last 4
Levante 0wins ·0 draws ·Barcelona 4wins
Levante 0-3 BarcelonaFeb 22, 2026
Levante 2-3 BarcelonaAug 23, 2025
Levante 2-3 BarcelonaApr 10, 2022
Levante 0-3 BarcelonaSep 26, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Levante win14.9%
Draw17.8%
Barcelona win67.2%
Over 1.5 goals86.1%
Over 2.5 goals67.4%
Over 3.5 goals45.7%
Both teams to score93.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals
92.0%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)
89.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home
89.9%
Match Result (11)
Both Halves Over 0.589.3%
Goal in Both Halves89.3%
Home or Away (12)84.3%
Draw or Away (X2)77.4%
Draw No Bet - Away74.8%
Away Win63.0%
Home or Draw (1X)35.7%
Draw No Bet - Home25.2%
Home Win21.2%
Draw14.4%
Exactly 1 Goal1.6%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals98.4%
Over 1.5 Goals96.8%
Over 2.5 Goals92.0%
Over 3.5 Goals82.6%
4+ Goals82.6%
Over 4.5 Goals68.8%
Over 5.5 Goals52.5%
Total Goals Odd49.3%
Total Goals Even49.3%
Under 5.5 Goals47.5%
Under 4.5 Goals31.2%
2-4 Goals28.0%
3-4 Goals23.2%
Under 3.5 Goals17.4%
1-3 Goals15.8%
2-3 Goals14.2%
Exactly 3 Goals9.4%
Under 2.5 Goals8.0%
1-2 Goals6.4%
Exactly 2 Goals4.8%
Under 1.5 Goals3.2%
Under 0.5 Goals1.6%
Exactly 0 Goals0.3%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score96.1%
Home Team to Score88.3%
Both Teams Score (GG)85.9%
No Both Teams Score (NG)14.1%
Away Clean Sheet10.4%
Away Win to Nil10.1%
Home Clean Sheet2.6%
Home Win to Nil2.3%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.596.1%
Home Over 0.588.3%
Away Over 1.586.6%
Away Over 2.569.3%
Away 3+ Goals69.3%
Home Over 1.564.8%
Home Over 2.538.5%
Home 3+ Goals38.5%
Home Exactly 226.3%
Home Exactly 123.4%
Away Exactly 217.3%
Home Exactly 010.4%
Away Exactly 19.5%
Away Exactly 02.6%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.0%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.8%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)89.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home89.9%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.7%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.7%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)81.2%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home81.2%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.4%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)68.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home68.3%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)63.0%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)52.3%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home52.3%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)46.3%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away46.3%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)35.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home35.7%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)30.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away30.4%
Away to win by 3+30.4%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.2%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)17.5%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away17.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.7%
Away to win by 116.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.0%
Away to win by 216.0%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.8%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.3%
Home to win by 110.3%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.8%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.8%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.8%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.1%
Home to win by 26.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.1%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.9%
Home to win by 3+4.9%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.7%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.7%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.0%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.583.7%
Away & Over 2.560.2%
Away & BTTS52.9%
Home & Over 2.519.9%
Home & BTTS18.9%
Draw & BTTS14.1%
Draw & Over 2.511.9%
Away & No BTTS10.1%
No BTTS & Over 2.58.3%
No BTTS & Under 2.54.4%
Away & Under 2.52.8%
Draw & Under 2.52.5%
Home & No BTTS2.3%
BTTS & Under 2.52.3%
Home & Under 2.51.3%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.593.0%
HT Over 1.574.3%
HT Away Win52.1%
HT Both Teams Score51.3%
2nd Half More Goals51.2%
HT/FT Away/Away44.7%
1st Half More Goals32.4%
HT Under 1.525.7%
HT Draw24.6%
HT Home Win23.3%
Equal Goals Each Half16.4%
HT/FT Draw/Away13.6%
HT/FT Home/Home12.8%
HT Under 0.57.0%
HT/FT Home/Away6.0%
HT/FT Draw/Home5.7%
HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%
HT/FT Away/Home2.8%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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