Spain · La Liga

Levante vs Sevilla

Kick-off 20:00 · Mon, Oct 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Levante 46.7% Draw 25.4% Sevilla 27.8%

Over 2.5 - 53% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

77%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 5.9%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Sevilla: 5 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.9%

Exact-score model probability

Levante

L L D W D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

Sevilla

L W W D L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 4

Levante 2wins ·0 draws ·Sevilla 2wins

Levante 2-0 SevillaApr 23, 2026

Levante 3-0 SevillaJan 4, 2026

Levante 2-3 SevillaApr 21, 2022

Levante 3-5 SevillaOct 24, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Levante win46.7%

Draw25.4%

Sevilla win27.8%

Over 1.5 goals77.3%

Over 2.5 goals53.1%

Over 3.5 goals30.9%

Both teams to score90.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.8%

Away Over 0.5

91.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.8%

Goal in Both Halves86.8%

Home or Away (12)82.2%

Home or Draw (1X)63.8%

Draw No Bet - Home56.5%

Draw or Away (X2)53.1%

Home Win46.4%

Draw No Bet - Away43.5%

Away Win35.7%

Draw17.4%

Exactly 1 Goal2.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.8%

Over 2.5 Goals90.3%

Over 3.5 Goals78.7%

4+ Goals78.7%

Over 4.5 Goals62.8%

Under 5.5 Goals54.4%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals45.6%

Under 4.5 Goals37.2%

2-4 Goals33.9%

3-4 Goals27.5%

Under 3.5 Goals21.3%

1-3 Goals20.4%

2-3 Goals18.1%

Exactly 3 Goals11.7%

Under 2.5 Goals9.7%

1-2 Goals8.8%

Exactly 2 Goals6.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.2%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.0%

Away Team to Score91.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.3%

Home Clean Sheet7.7%

Home Win to Nil7.3%

Away Clean Sheet5.6%

Away Win to Nil5.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.0%

Away Over 0.591.8%

Home Over 1.577.9%

Away Over 1.572.1%

Home Over 2.554.6%

Home 3+ Goals54.6%

Away Over 2.546.8%

Away 3+ Goals46.8%

Away Exactly 225.3%

Home Exactly 223.2%

Away Exactly 119.8%

Home Exactly 116.1%

Away Exactly 07.7%

Home Exactly 05.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)63.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home63.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

Home to win by 3+16.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.8%

Away to win by 114.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.1%

Home to win by 213.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.7%

Away to win by 3+10.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.3%

Away to win by 210.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.583.5%

Home & Over 2.543.4%

Home & BTTS39.1%

Away & Over 2.533.2%

Away & BTTS30.6%

Draw & BTTS17.0%

Draw & Over 2.513.8%

Home & No BTTS7.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.0%

Away & No BTTS5.2%

Draw & Under 2.53.6%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Home & Under 2.53.1%

Away & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.3%

HT Over 1.570.2%

2nd Half More Goals50.4%

HT Both Teams Score49.7%

HT Home Win39.9%

HT Away Win32.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Home/Home30.4%

HT Under 1.529.8%

HT Draw27.3%

HT/FT Away/Away22.5%

Equal Goals Each Half17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.2%

HT Under 0.58.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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