UEFA Champions League

Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Aug 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

82% confidence

Levski Sofia 81.8% Draw 14.8% AEK Athens FC 3.4%

Over 2.5 - 51% BTTS - 28%

🎯 Best Pick

No Both Teams Score (NG)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 18.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

18.5%

Exact-score model probability

Levski Sofia

W W D W W D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 10:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.5

AEK Athens FC

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📈 Probability Breakdown

Levski Sofia win81.8%

Draw14.8%

AEK Athens FC win3.4%

Over 1.5 goals76.1%

Over 2.5 goals50.9%

Over 3.5 goals28.8%

Both teams to score27.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.5%

Home Over 0.5

90.5%

Home or Away (12)

86.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)95.9%

Draw No Bet - Home95.3%

Home or Away (12)86.5%

Home Win82.5%

Both Halves Over 0.554.6%

Goal in Both Halves54.6%

Exactly 1 Goal18.0%

Draw or Away (X2)17.5%

Draw13.4%

Draw No Bet - Away4.7%

Away Win4.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.3%

Over 0.5 Goals93.3%

Under 4.5 Goals86.2%

Over 1.5 Goals75.3%

Under 3.5 Goals71.2%

1-3 Goals64.5%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals50.9%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 2.5 Goals49.1%

2-3 Goals46.5%

1-2 Goals42.4%

3-4 Goals37.1%

Over 3.5 Goals28.8%

4+ Goals28.8%

Under 1.5 Goals24.7%

Exactly 2 Goals24.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals13.8%

Under 0.5 Goals6.7%

Exactly 0 Goals6.6%

Over 5.5 Goals5.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)73.1%

Home Clean Sheet70.3%

Home Win to Nil63.6%

Away Team to Score29.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)26.9%

Away Clean Sheet9.4%

Away Win to Nil2.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.5%

Away Exactly 070.3%

Home Over 1.568.2%

Home Over 2.541.9%

Home 3+ Goals41.9%

Away Over 0.529.6%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 124.7%

Home Exactly 122.3%

Home Exactly 09.4%

Away Over 1.54.9%

Away Exactly 24.4%

Away Over 2.50.6%

Away 3+ Goals0.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)82.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)59.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home59.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)40.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away40.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.2%

Home to win by 3+35.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw24.2%

Home to win by 224.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.1%

Home to win by 123.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)17.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away17.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.4%

Away to win by 13.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.5%

Away to win by 20.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS63.6%

Home & Over 2.548.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.543.5%

Home & Under 2.534.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.529.5%

BTTS & Over 2.521.3%

Home & BTTS18.8%

Draw & Under 2.512.1%

Draw & BTTS6.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Away & No BTTS2.8%

Away & Under 2.52.7%

Draw & Over 2.51.3%

Away & Over 2.51.3%

Away & BTTS1.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.5%

HT Under 1.565.5%

HT Home Win59.8%

HT/FT Home/Home57.9%

2nd Half More Goals43.5%

HT Draw34.7%

HT Over 1.534.5%

1st Half More Goals31.0%

HT Under 0.529.5%

Equal Goals Each Half25.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home22.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.9%

HT Both Teams Score9.6%

HT Away Win5.5%

HT/FT Away/Away2.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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