UEFA Europa League

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia

Kick-off 18:45 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Levski Sofia 37.7% Draw 32.0% Jagiellonia 30.3%

Over 2.5 - 40% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Levski Sofia: 11 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.08 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.3%

Exact-score model probability

Levski Sofia

L D W W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

Jagiellonia

W W D W

Form 3-1-0 Goals 9:3 Scored/game 2.25 Conceded/game 0.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Levski Sofia win37.7%

Draw32.0%

Jagiellonia win30.3%

Over 1.5 goals67.8%

Over 2.5 goals39.5%

Over 3.5 goals19.4%

Both teams to score47.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

92.0%

Over 0.5 Goals

89.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)71.5%

Home or Draw (1X)68.0%

Draw or Away (X2)60.5%

Draw No Bet - Home55.2%

Both Halves Over 0.545.5%

Goal in Both Halves45.5%

Draw No Bet - Away44.8%

Home Win39.5%

Away Win32.0%

Draw28.5%

Exactly 1 Goal23.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.2%

Under 4.5 Goals92.0%

Over 0.5 Goals89.6%

Under 3.5 Goals80.6%

1-3 Goals70.2%

Over 1.5 Goals66.1%

Under 2.5 Goals60.5%

2-4 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Even50.5%

1-2 Goals50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

2-3 Goals46.7%

Over 2.5 Goals39.5%

Under 1.5 Goals33.9%

3-4 Goals31.5%

Exactly 2 Goals26.6%

Exactly 3 Goals20.1%

Over 3.5 Goals19.4%

4+ Goals19.4%

Under 0.5 Goals10.4%

Exactly 0 Goals10.4%

Over 4.5 Goals8.0%

Over 5.5 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score70.1%

Away Team to Score65.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)54.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)45.8%

Home Clean Sheet34.7%

Away Clean Sheet29.9%

Home Win to Nil24.3%

Away Win to Nil19.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.570.1%

Away Over 0.565.3%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 136.1%

Away Exactly 034.7%

Home Over 1.534.0%

Home Exactly 029.9%

Away Over 1.528.6%

Home Exactly 221.8%

Away Exactly 219.4%

Home Over 2.512.2%

Home 3+ Goals12.2%

Away Over 2.59.1%

Away 3+ Goals9.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.4%

Home to win by 122.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.7%

Away to win by 119.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.4%

Home to win by 211.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.7%

Away to win by 28.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.7%

Home to win by 3+5.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.7%

Away to win by 3+3.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.547.3%

BTTS & Over 2.532.5%

Home & No BTTS24.3%

Draw & Under 2.523.6%

Home & Under 2.520.1%

Away & No BTTS19.5%

Home & Over 2.519.4%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Away & Under 2.516.8%

Away & Over 2.515.2%

Home & BTTS15.1%

BTTS & Under 2.513.3%

Away & BTTS12.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.0%

Draw & Over 2.54.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.572.9%

HT Over 0.563.9%

HT Draw46.0%

2nd Half More Goals41.4%

HT Under 0.536.1%

1st Half More Goals30.2%

HT Home Win29.2%

Equal Goals Each Half28.4%

HT Over 1.527.1%

HT Away Win24.7%

HT/FT Home/Home22.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.9%

HT/FT Away/Away18.1%

HT Both Teams Score15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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