UEFA Europa League

Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg

Kick-off 17:45 · Thu, Sep 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

Levski Sofia 55.6% Draw 27.8% Red Bull Salzburg 16.6%

Over 2.5 - 43% BTTS - 45%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 14.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Levski Sofia: 11 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.7%

Exact-score model probability

Levski Sofia

L D W W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

Red Bull Salzburg

W D W

Form 2-1-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Levski Sofia win55.6%

Draw27.8%

Red Bull Salzburg win16.6%

Over 1.5 goals70.5%

Over 2.5 goals42.8%

Over 3.5 goals22.0%

Both teams to score44.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

90.9%

Under 4.5 Goals

90.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

86.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)81.9%

Draw No Bet - Home75.9%

Home or Away (12)75.2%

Home Win57.1%

Both Halves Over 0.548.3%

Goal in Both Halves48.3%

Draw or Away (X2)42.9%

Draw24.8%

Draw No Bet - Away24.1%

Exactly 1 Goal21.9%

Away Win18.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.5%

Over 0.5 Goals90.9%

Under 4.5 Goals90.5%

Under 3.5 Goals78.0%

Over 1.5 Goals69.0%

1-3 Goals68.9%

2-4 Goals59.5%

Under 2.5 Goals57.2%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals48.0%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals42.8%

3-4 Goals33.3%

Under 1.5 Goals31.0%

Exactly 2 Goals26.2%

Over 3.5 Goals22.0%

4+ Goals22.0%

Exactly 3 Goals20.9%

Over 4.5 Goals9.5%

Under 0.5 Goals9.1%

Exactly 0 Goals9.1%

Over 5.5 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score80.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)56.6%

Away Team to Score54.3%

Home Clean Sheet45.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.4%

Home Win to Nil36.6%

Away Clean Sheet20.0%

Away Win to Nil10.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.580.0%

Away Over 0.554.3%

Home Over 1.547.8%

Away Exactly 045.7%

Away Exactly 135.8%

Home Exactly 132.2%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Home Over 2.521.9%

Home 3+ Goals21.9%

Home Exactly 020.0%

Away Over 1.518.5%

Away Exactly 214.0%

Away Over 2.54.5%

Away 3+ Goals4.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.1%

Home to win by 126.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 217.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.2%

Home to win by 3+13.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.7%

Away to win by 112.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.2%

Away to win by 24.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.2%

Away to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.545.6%

Home & No BTTS36.6%

BTTS & Over 2.531.9%

Home & Over 2.530.5%

Home & Under 2.526.5%

Draw & Under 2.520.7%

Home & BTTS20.5%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

BTTS & Under 2.511.5%

Away & No BTTS10.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.9%

Away & Under 2.510.0%

Away & Over 2.58.1%

Away & BTTS7.2%

Draw & Over 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.570.8%

HT Over 0.565.9%

HT Draw43.3%

2nd Half More Goals42.1%

HT Home Win40.5%

HT/FT Home/Home35.4%

HT Under 0.534.1%

1st Half More Goals30.5%

HT Over 1.529.2%

Equal Goals Each Half27.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.5%

HT Away Win16.2%

HT Both Teams Score15.3%

HT/FT Away/Away9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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