UEFA Champions League

Lille vs Galatasaray

Kick-off 17:45 · Wed, Oct 21

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Lille 70.5% Draw 14.0% Galatasaray 15.5%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 5.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.9%

Exact-score model probability

Lille

D L W L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Galatasaray

L L W D L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:14 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lille win70.5%

Draw14.0%

Galatasaray win15.5%

Over 1.5 goals97.9%

Over 2.5 goals91.7%

Over 3.5 goals80.8%

Both teams to score83.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

92.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.8%

Goal in Both Halves87.8%

Home or Away (12)85.5%

Home or Draw (1X)82.9%

Draw No Bet - Home81.6%

Home Win69.8%

Draw or Away (X2)28.8%

Draw No Bet - Away18.4%

Away Win15.7%

Draw13.1%

Exactly 1 Goal2.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals96.2%

Over 2.5 Goals90.4%

Over 3.5 Goals79.6%

4+ Goals79.6%

Over 4.5 Goals64.5%

Under 5.5 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Over 5.5 Goals47.6%

Under 4.5 Goals35.5%

2-4 Goals31.6%

3-4 Goals25.9%

Under 3.5 Goals20.4%

1-3 Goals18.6%

2-3 Goals16.5%

Exactly 3 Goals10.8%

Under 2.5 Goals9.6%

1-2 Goals7.8%

Exactly 2 Goals5.8%

Under 1.5 Goals3.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score83.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.4%

Home Clean Sheet14.9%

Home Win to Nil14.5%

Away Clean Sheet2.4%

Away Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.587.1%

Away Over 0.583.7%

Home Over 2.570.4%

Home 3+ Goals70.4%

Away Over 1.555.6%

Away Over 2.529.0%

Away 3+ Goals29.0%

Away Exactly 128.1%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 216.8%

Away Exactly 014.9%

Home Exactly 19.0%

Home Exactly 02.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away76.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)62.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away62.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)53.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home53.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)36.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home36.2%

Home to win by 3+36.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 217.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.5%

Home to win by 116.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.4%

Away to win by 18.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.4%

Away to win by 24.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.9%

Away to win by 3+2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.1%

Home & Over 2.565.9%

Home & BTTS55.3%

Home & No BTTS14.5%

Away & Over 2.514.3%

Away & BTTS13.6%

Draw & BTTS12.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.3%

Draw & Over 2.510.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.6%

Home & Under 2.53.9%

Draw & Under 2.52.9%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Away & No BTTS2.1%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.0%

HT Over 1.571.8%

HT Home Win56.9%

HT/FT Home/Home50.8%

2nd Half More Goals50.7%

HT Both Teams Score46.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.2%

HT Draw24.2%

HT Away Win18.9%

Equal Goals Each Half16.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT/FT Away/Away9.2%

HT Under 0.58.0%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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