France · Ligue 1

Lille vs Le Havre

Kick-off 16:15 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Lille 63.9% Draw 24.3% Le Havre 11.7%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Lille: 10 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

Lille

L W L W D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Le Havre

L D L D L W

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Lille 3wins ·1 draws ·Le Havre 1wins

Lille 1-1 Le HavreMay 3, 2026

Lille 1-0 Le HavreNov 30, 2025

Lille 1-2 Le HavreFeb 8, 2025

Lille 3-0 Le HavreSep 28, 2024

Lille 3-0 Le HavreFeb 17, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lille win63.9%

Draw24.3%

Le Havre win11.7%

Over 1.5 goals67.6%

Over 2.5 goals73.4%

Over 3.5 goals20.1%

Both teams to score73.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

88.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.9%

Home or Draw (1X)73.0%

Draw No Bet - Home65.4%

Both Halves Over 0.564.8%

Goal in Both Halves64.8%

Home Win51.0%

Draw or Away (X2)49.0%

Draw No Bet - Away34.6%

Away Win26.9%

Draw22.1%

Exactly 1 Goal12.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.3%

Under 5.5 Goals88.3%

Over 1.5 Goals84.1%

Under 4.5 Goals76.3%

Over 2.5 Goals64.0%

2-4 Goals60.4%

Under 3.5 Goals58.1%

1-3 Goals54.3%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.2%

Over 3.5 Goals41.9%

4+ Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals36.0%

1-2 Goals32.3%

Over 4.5 Goals23.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 2 Goals20.1%

Under 1.5 Goals15.9%

Over 5.5 Goals11.7%

Under 0.5 Goals3.7%

Exactly 0 Goals3.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.6%

Away Team to Score74.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.4%

Home Clean Sheet25.6%

Home Win to Nil21.9%

Away Clean Sheet14.4%

Away Win to Nil10.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.6%

Away Over 0.574.3%

Home Over 1.557.7%

Away Over 1.539.5%

Away Exactly 134.9%

Home Over 2.530.7%

Home 3+ Goals30.7%

Home Exactly 127.9%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 025.6%

Away Exactly 223.7%

Away Over 2.515.7%

Away 3+ Goals15.7%

Home Exactly 014.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)73.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home73.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)26.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.8%

Home to win by 121.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.3%

Away to win by 115.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.8%

Home to win by 3+13.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.6%

Away to win by 27.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.0%

Away to win by 3+4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.553.9%

Home & Over 2.536.9%

Home & BTTS29.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.2%

Home & No BTTS21.9%

Away & Over 2.518.5%

Draw & BTTS18.4%

Away & BTTS16.2%

Home & Under 2.514.1%

Draw & Under 2.513.4%

Away & No BTTS10.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.1%

BTTS & Under 2.59.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

Away & Under 2.58.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.3%

HT Under 1.556.3%

2nd Half More Goals45.6%

HT Over 1.543.7%

HT Home Win39.4%

HT Draw36.5%

HT/FT Home/Home32.1%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Both Teams Score26.7%

HT Away Win24.1%

HT Under 0.522.7%

Equal Goals Each Half22.7%

HT/FT Away/Away15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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