France · Ligue 1

Lille vs Lens

Kick-off 21:05 · Fri, Oct 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Lille 42.2% Draw 29.3% Lens 28.5%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 89%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

89%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 6.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lens: 5 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Lille 4 wins, 0 draws, Lens 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.8%

Exact-score model probability

Lille

D L D L W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Lens

W L W L W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 5

Lille 4wins ·0 draws ·Lens 1wins

Lille 3-0 LensApr 4, 2026

Lille 0-3 LensSep 20, 2025

Lille 1-0 LensMar 30, 2025

Lille 2-0 LensOct 26, 2024

Lille 2-1 LensMar 29, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lille win42.2%

Draw29.3%

Lens win28.5%

Over 1.5 goals69.3%

Over 2.5 goals93.2%

Over 3.5 goals21.4%

Both teams to score89.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

90.4%

HT Over 0.5

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.6%

Both Halves Over 0.580.8%

Goal in Both Halves80.8%

Home or Draw (1X)71.7%

Draw No Bet - Home65.6%

Home Win53.6%

Draw or Away (X2)46.2%

Draw No Bet - Away34.4%

Away Win28.1%

Draw18.2%

Exactly 1 Goal4.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.3%

Over 2.5 Goals83.9%

Under 5.5 Goals68.1%

Over 3.5 Goals67.9%

4+ Goals67.9%

Under 4.5 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals49.2%

2-4 Goals45.1%

3-4 Goals34.7%

Under 3.5 Goals32.1%

Over 5.5 Goals31.9%

1-3 Goals31.0%

2-3 Goals26.5%

Under 2.5 Goals16.1%

Exactly 3 Goals16.1%

1-2 Goals14.9%

Exactly 2 Goals10.4%

Under 1.5 Goals5.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.9%

Away Team to Score85.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)20.2%

Home Clean Sheet14.1%

Home Win to Nil13.1%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil5.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.9%

Away Over 0.585.7%

Home Over 1.574.6%

Away Over 1.558.1%

Home Over 2.550.0%

Home 3+ Goals50.0%

Away Over 2.531.1%

Away 3+ Goals31.1%

Away Exactly 127.6%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 224.6%

Home Exactly 118.4%

Away Exactly 014.1%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)53.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away46.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.5%

Home to win by 3+19.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.8%

Home to win by 118.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.3%

Home to win by 215.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.7%

Away to win by 113.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 28.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.2%

Away to win by 3+6.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.8%

Home & Over 2.547.5%

Home & BTTS40.4%

Away & Over 2.524.3%

Away & BTTS22.2%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Home & No BTTS13.1%

Draw & Over 2.512.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.2%

Home & Under 2.56.1%

Draw & Under 2.56.0%

Away & No BTTS5.9%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Away & Under 2.53.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.6%

HT Over 1.561.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Home Win43.6%

HT Both Teams Score41.0%

HT Under 1.538.3%

HT/FT Home/Home35.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.5%

HT Away Win26.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.7%

HT/FT Away/Away16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.7%

HT Under 0.512.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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