UEFA Champions League

Lille vs Real Betis

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Sep 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

72% confidence

Lille 72.0% Draw 16.0% Real Betis 12.0%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Real Betis: 11 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

Lille

W D W L W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Real Betis

W L W W W L

Form 4-0-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lille win72.0%

Draw16.0%

Real Betis win12.0%

Over 1.5 goals92.8%

Over 2.5 goals78.7%

Over 3.5 goals60.1%

Both teams to score67.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.0%

Home or Away (12)85.1%

Draw No Bet - Home85.1%

Both Halves Over 0.576.3%

Goal in Both Halves76.3%

Home Win72.5%

Draw or Away (X2)27.2%

Draw No Bet - Away14.9%

Draw14.5%

Away Win12.7%

Exactly 1 Goal6.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals91.8%

Over 2.5 Goals78.4%

Under 5.5 Goals75.9%

Over 3.5 Goals59.9%

4+ Goals59.9%

Under 4.5 Goals59.6%

2-4 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 4.5 Goals40.4%

Under 3.5 Goals40.1%

1-3 Goals38.3%

3-4 Goals38.0%

2-3 Goals31.9%

Over 5.5 Goals24.1%

Under 2.5 Goals21.6%

1-2 Goals19.7%

Exactly 3 Goals18.6%

Exactly 2 Goals13.3%

Under 1.5 Goals8.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.5%

Away Team to Score70.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.4%

Home Clean Sheet29.4%

Home Win to Nil27.9%

Away Clean Sheet5.1%

Away Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.5%

Home Over 1.579.2%

Away Over 0.570.2%

Home Over 2.556.6%

Home 3+ Goals56.6%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Over 1.534.3%

Away Exactly 029.4%

Home Exactly 222.6%

Away Exactly 221.9%

Home Exactly 115.3%

Away Over 2.512.4%

Away 3+ Goals12.4%

Home Exactly 05.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)72.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)66.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away66.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)53.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home53.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)46.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away46.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)33.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home33.6%

Home to win by 3+33.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)27.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away27.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 119.4%

Home to win by 219.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.0%

Away to win by 18.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.3%

Away to win by 23.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.4%

Away to win by 3+1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.561.3%

BTTS & Over 2.561.1%

Home & BTTS44.6%

Home & No BTTS27.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.7%

Draw & BTTS13.0%

Home & Under 2.511.2%

Away & Over 2.59.7%

Away & BTTS9.0%

Draw & Over 2.57.5%

Draw & Under 2.57.0%

BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Away & No BTTS3.6%

Away & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.8%

HT Home Win56.2%

HT Over 1.556.2%

HT/FT Home/Home51.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.9%

HT Under 1.543.8%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score31.1%

HT Draw28.5%

Equal Goals Each Half19.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.3%

HT Away Win15.3%

HT Under 0.515.2%

HT/FT Away/Away7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.9%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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