UEFA Europa League

Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Lillestrom 18.2% Draw 58.6% Egnatia Rrogozhinë 23.2%

Over 2.5 - 3% BTTS - 9%

🎯 Best Pick

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 51.4%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

51.4%

Exact-score model probability

Lillestrom

Form 0-1-0 Goals 0:0 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 0

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

D W L D D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 17:10 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

Lillestrom 0wins ·1 draws ·Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0wins

Lillestrom 0-0 Egnatia RrogozhinëAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lillestrom win18.2%

Draw58.6%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win23.2%

Over 1.5 goals15.1%

Over 2.5 goals3.0%

Over 3.5 goals0.5%

Both teams to score8.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

No BTTS & Under 2.5

91.3%

Under 1.5 Goals

85.6%

Draw or Away (X2)

81.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)81.1%

Home or Draw (1X)76.1%

Draw57.2%

Draw No Bet - Away55.8%

Draw No Bet - Home44.2%

Home or Away (12)42.8%

Exactly 1 Goal34.2%

Away Win23.9%

Home Win18.9%

Both Halves Over 0.57.9%

Goal in Both Halves7.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals100.0%

Under 4.5 Goals99.9%

Under 3.5 Goals99.5%

Under 2.5 Goals97.0%

Under 1.5 Goals85.6%

Total Goals Even63.2%

Under 0.5 Goals51.4%

Exactly 0 Goals51.4%

Over 0.5 Goals48.6%

1-3 Goals48.1%

1-2 Goals45.6%

Total Goals Odd36.8%

Over 1.5 Goals14.4%

2-4 Goals14.3%

2-3 Goals13.9%

Exactly 2 Goals11.4%

Over 2.5 Goals3.0%

3-4 Goals3.0%

Exactly 3 Goals2.5%

Over 3.5 Goals0.5%

4+ Goals0.5%

Over 4.5 Goals0.1%

Over 5.5 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)92.1%

Away Clean Sheet74.1%

Home Clean Sheet69.4%

Away Team to Score30.6%

Home Team to Score25.9%

Away Win to Nil22.7%

Home Win to Nil18.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)7.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 074.1%

Away Exactly 069.4%

Away Over 0.530.6%

Home Over 0.525.9%

Away Exactly 125.4%

Home Exactly 122.2%

Away Over 1.55.3%

Away Exactly 24.6%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.6%

Away 3+ Goals0.6%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away81.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.9%

Away to win by 119.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 116.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.6%

Away to win by 23.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.4%

Home to win by 22.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.3%

Home to win by 3+0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.591.3%

Draw & Under 2.557.0%

Away & No BTTS22.7%

Away & Under 2.522.2%

Home & No BTTS18.0%

Home & Under 2.517.7%

Draw & BTTS5.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.6%

BTTS & Over 2.52.3%

Away & Over 2.51.7%

Home & Over 2.51.2%

Away & BTTS1.2%

Home & BTTS1.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.50.7%

Draw & Over 2.50.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.596.3%

HT Draw75.8%

HT Under 0.574.1%

Equal Goals Each Half57.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw54.3%

HT Over 0.525.9%

2nd Half More Goals23.9%

1st Half More Goals18.9%

HT Away Win13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.9%

HT/FT Away/Away11.8%

HT Home Win10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.6%

HT/FT Home/Home9.2%

HT Over 1.53.7%

HT Both Teams Score1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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