UEFA Europa Conference League

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split

Kick-off 18:45 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Lincoln Red Imps FC 27.7% Draw 21.3% HNK Hajduk Split 51.0%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to HNK Hajduk Split: 3 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Lincoln Red Imps FC

L L D D L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:8 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.33

HNK Hajduk Split

D W W L W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 14:8 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lincoln Red Imps FC win27.7%

Draw21.3%

HNK Hajduk Split win51.0%

Over 1.5 goals92.6%

Over 2.5 goals78.0%

Over 3.5 goals59.2%

Both teams to score75.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.7%

Away Team to Score

90.6%

Away Over 0.5

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.4%

Both Halves Over 0.575.7%

Goal in Both Halves75.7%

Draw or Away (X2)71.3%

Draw No Bet - Away64.4%

Away Win51.8%

Home or Draw (1X)48.1%

Draw No Bet - Home35.6%

Home Win28.6%

Draw19.5%

Exactly 1 Goal6.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.7%

Over 2.5 Goals78.0%

Under 5.5 Goals76.5%

Under 4.5 Goals60.4%

Over 3.5 Goals59.1%

4+ Goals59.1%

2-4 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals40.9%

Over 4.5 Goals39.6%

1-3 Goals39.2%

3-4 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals32.6%

Over 5.5 Goals23.5%

Under 2.5 Goals22.0%

1-2 Goals20.3%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals13.7%

Under 1.5 Goals8.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.6%

Home Team to Score82.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.0%

Away Clean Sheet17.3%

Away Win to Nil15.7%

Home Clean Sheet9.3%

Home Win to Nil7.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.6%

Home Over 0.582.7%

Away Over 1.568.5%

Home Over 1.552.3%

Away Over 2.542.3%

Away 3+ Goals42.3%

Home Exactly 130.3%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 226.2%

Home Over 2.525.7%

Home 3+ Goals25.7%

Away Exactly 122.1%

Home Exactly 017.3%

Away Exactly 09.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home83.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home67.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)51.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)48.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home48.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)32.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away32.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.7%

Away to win by 119.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away16.9%

Away to win by 3+16.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.2%

Away to win by 215.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 114.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.3%

Home to win by 28.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.7%

Home to win by 3+5.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.3%

Away & Over 2.543.5%

Away & BTTS36.1%

Home & Over 2.523.3%

Home & BTTS20.9%

Draw & BTTS17.9%

Away & No BTTS15.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.2%

Draw & Over 2.511.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.7%

Draw & Under 2.58.3%

Away & Under 2.58.3%

Home & No BTTS7.7%

BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Home & Under 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.4%

HT Over 1.555.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.5%

HT Away Win41.6%

HT Both Teams Score35.9%

HT/FT Away/Away33.5%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.8%

HT Home Win26.6%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT/FT Home/Home17.1%

HT Under 0.515.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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