UEFA Europa Conference League

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne

Kick-off 17:00 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

84% confidence

Lincoln Red Imps FC 83.7% Draw 12.2% Larne 4.1%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 42%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 12.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Larne: 6 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.9%

Exact-score model probability

Lincoln Red Imps FC

L D D L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Larne

L D L L W W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 4:12 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lincoln Red Imps FC win83.7%

Draw12.2%

Larne win4.1%

Over 1.5 goals86.9%

Over 2.5 goals67.6%

Over 3.5 goals46.0%

Both teams to score42.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

88.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

87.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)94.9%

Draw No Bet - Home94.7%

Home or Away (12)88.9%

Home Win84.1%

Both Halves Over 0.567.6%

Goal in Both Halves67.6%

Draw or Away (X2)15.5%

Draw10.8%

Exactly 1 Goal10.6%

Draw No Bet - Away5.3%

Away Win4.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Under 5.5 Goals86.2%

Over 1.5 Goals86.0%

Under 4.5 Goals73.0%

Over 2.5 Goals67.4%

2-4 Goals59.0%

Under 3.5 Goals54.2%

1-3 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals45.8%

4+ Goals45.8%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.2%

Under 2.5 Goals32.6%

1-2 Goals29.2%

Over 4.5 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.6%

Under 1.5 Goals14.0%

Over 5.5 Goals13.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)58.6%

Home Clean Sheet55.9%

Home Win to Nil52.9%

Away Team to Score43.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)41.4%

Away Clean Sheet5.4%

Away Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.3%

Home Over 1.578.4%

Away Exactly 055.9%

Home Over 2.555.4%

Home 3+ Goals55.4%

Away Over 0.543.8%

Away Exactly 132.3%

Home Exactly 223.0%

Home Exactly 115.8%

Away Over 1.511.4%

Away Exactly 29.3%

Home Exactly 05.4%

Away Over 2.52.1%

Away 3+ Goals2.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)84.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away75.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)65.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home65.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)56.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away56.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)43.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home43.5%

Home to win by 3+43.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)34.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away34.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)24.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home24.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.9%

Home to win by 221.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.8%

Home to win by 118.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away15.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 13.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.9%

Away to win by 20.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.562.3%

Home & No BTTS52.9%

BTTS & Over 2.536.2%

Home & BTTS31.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.531.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.1%

Home & Under 2.521.8%

Draw & Under 2.58.2%

Draw & BTTS7.7%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Draw & Over 2.52.6%

Away & Over 2.52.5%

Away & BTTS2.4%

Away & No BTTS2.4%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.2%

HT Home Win64.3%

HT/FT Home/Home61.8%

HT Under 1.553.4%

HT Over 1.546.6%

2nd Half More Goals46.1%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw28.5%

Equal Goals Each Half22.0%

HT Under 0.520.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.9%

HT Both Teams Score16.7%

HT Away Win7.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Away/Away2.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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