UEFA Europa League

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Omonia Nicosia

Full time · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

88% confidence

Lincoln Red Imps FC 26.0% Draw 45.0% Omonia Nicosia 29.0%

Over 2.5 - 12% BTTS - 22%

✓ Pick was correct (1:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

Low scoring

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 57%

⚠️ AIs disagree

66%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

No Both Teams Score (NG)

Defensive strength

80%

Draw or Away (X2)

Away team chance

73%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FC and Omonia Nicosia have a significant form gap. Omonia Nicosia's attacking threat is limited, with only 0.5 goals scored per game. Lincoln Red Imps FC's defensive strength is moderate, with 1.25 goals conceded per game. The key player impact is unknown due to lack of specific information. The H2H significance is low since this is their first meeting. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the low scoring nature of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Under 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 30.1%, based on the goal model.

Low scoring

Numbers behind this Under 2.5 Goals

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

30.1%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

57%

Market does not fully agree

Lincoln Red Imps FC

D L D W

Form 1-2-1 Goals 4:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.25

Omonia Nicosia

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 1:1 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lincoln Red Imps FC win26.0%

Draw45.0%

Omonia Nicosia win29.0%

Over 1.5 goals35.1%

Over 2.5 goals12.1%

Over 3.5 goals3.4%

Both teams to score21.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.8%

HT Under 1.5

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)72.6%

Home or Draw (1X)69.4%

Home or Away (12)58.0%

Draw No Bet - Away52.7%

Draw No Bet - Home47.3%

Draw42.0%

Exactly 1 Goal36.1%

Away Win30.6%

Home Win27.4%

Both Halves Over 0.520.2%

Goal in Both Halves20.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.8%

Under 4.5 Goals99.2%

Under 3.5 Goals96.6%

Under 2.5 Goals87.9%

Over 0.5 Goals69.9%

1-3 Goals66.5%

Under 1.5 Goals66.3%

1-2 Goals57.8%

Total Goals Even54.5%

Total Goals Odd45.5%

Over 1.5 Goals33.7%

2-4 Goals33.0%

2-3 Goals30.4%

Under 0.5 Goals30.1%

Exactly 0 Goals30.1%

Exactly 2 Goals21.7%

Over 2.5 Goals12.1%

3-4 Goals11.3%

Exactly 3 Goals8.7%

Over 3.5 Goals3.4%

4+ Goals3.4%

Over 4.5 Goals0.8%

Over 5.5 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)79.7%

Away Clean Sheet56.3%

Home Clean Sheet53.5%

Away Team to Score46.5%

Home Team to Score43.7%

Away Win to Nil26.2%

Home Win to Nil23.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)20.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 056.3%

Away Exactly 053.5%

Away Over 0.546.5%

Home Over 0.543.7%

Away Exactly 133.5%

Home Exactly 132.4%

Away Over 1.513.0%

Home Over 1.511.4%

Away Exactly 210.5%

Home Exactly 29.3%

Away Over 2.52.6%

Away 3+ Goals2.6%

Home Over 2.52.1%

Home 3+ Goals2.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)72.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away72.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.4%

Away to win by 122.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 120.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.6%

Away to win by 26.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.6%

Home to win by 25.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.2%

Home to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.577.1%

Draw & Under 2.540.9%

Away & No BTTS26.2%

Away & Under 2.524.7%

Home & No BTTS23.4%

Home & Under 2.522.3%

Draw & BTTS11.8%

BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

BTTS & Over 2.59.5%

Away & Over 2.55.9%

Home & Over 2.55.1%

Away & BTTS4.5%

Home & BTTS4.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.52.6%

Draw & Over 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.589.7%

HT Draw62.6%

HT Under 0.558.3%

Equal Goals Each Half41.8%

HT Over 0.541.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw36.0%

2nd Half More Goals32.9%

1st Half More Goals25.3%

HT Away Win19.6%

HT Home Win17.8%

HT/FT Away/Away16.1%

HT/FT Home/Home14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.7%

HT Over 1.510.3%

HT Both Teams Score5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

HT/FT Away/Home0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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