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UEFA Europa Conference League

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Oct 22
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
56% confidence
Lincoln Red Imps FC 23.4% Draw 20.3% Twente 56.3%
Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 75%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
93%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Home or Away (12)
Double chance from Poisson
80%
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
75%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.1%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Twente: 3 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
8.1%
Exact-score model probability
Lincoln Red Imps FC
L L D D L D
Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:8 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.33
Twente
L D W W W D
Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lincoln Red Imps FC win23.4%
Draw20.3%
Twente win56.3%
Over 1.5 goals92.8%
Over 2.5 goals78.5%
Over 3.5 goals59.7%
Both teams to score74.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score
91.9%
Away Over 0.5
91.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
91.8%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)81.3%
Both Halves Over 0.576.1%
Goal in Both Halves76.1%
Draw or Away (X2)75.7%
Draw No Bet - Away70.2%
Away Win57.1%
Home or Draw (1X)42.8%
Draw No Bet - Home29.8%
Home Win24.2%
Draw18.6%
Exactly 1 Goal6.5%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals98.3%
Over 1.5 Goals91.8%
Over 2.5 Goals78.4%
Under 5.5 Goals76.0%
Under 4.5 Goals59.8%
Over 3.5 Goals59.7%
4+ Goals59.7%
2-4 Goals51.7%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
Total Goals Even49.9%
Under 3.5 Goals40.3%
Over 4.5 Goals40.2%
1-3 Goals38.7%
3-4 Goals38.2%
2-3 Goals32.2%
Over 5.5 Goals24.0%
Under 2.5 Goals21.6%
1-2 Goals19.9%
Exactly 3 Goals18.7%
Exactly 2 Goals13.5%
Under 1.5 Goals8.2%
Under 0.5 Goals1.7%
Exactly 0 Goals1.6%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score91.9%
Home Team to Score80.4%
Both Teams Score (GG)74.0%
No Both Teams Score (NG)26.0%
Away Clean Sheet19.5%
Away Win to Nil17.9%
Home Clean Sheet8.0%
Home Win to Nil6.4%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.591.9%
Home Over 0.580.4%
Away Over 1.571.7%
Home Over 1.548.6%
Away Over 2.546.2%
Away 3+ Goals46.2%
Home Exactly 131.8%
Home Exactly 226.0%
Away Exactly 225.5%
Home Over 2.522.5%
Home 3+ Goals22.5%
Away Exactly 120.2%
Home Exactly 019.5%
Away Exactly 08.0%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.5%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.9%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.6%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.2%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.2%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.7%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.7%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.4%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.7%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)62.8%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home62.8%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)57.1%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)42.8%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home42.8%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)37.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away37.0%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)24.2%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.5%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.5%
Away to win by 3+20.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.1%
Away to win by 120.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.5%
Away to win by 216.5%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.0%
Home to win by 113.0%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.8%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.7%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.9%
Home to win by 26.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.8%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.3%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.3%
Home to win by 3+4.3%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.9%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.6%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.4%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.4%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.567.6%
Away & Over 2.548.2%
Away & BTTS39.2%
Home & Over 2.519.6%
Away & No BTTS17.9%
Home & BTTS17.8%
Draw & BTTS17.1%
No BTTS & Under 2.515.1%
No BTTS & Over 2.510.8%
Draw & Over 2.510.6%
Away & Under 2.58.9%
Draw & Under 2.58.0%
Home & No BTTS6.4%
BTTS & Under 2.56.4%
Home & Under 2.54.6%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.584.6%
HT Over 1.555.9%
2nd Half More Goals47.9%
HT Away Win45.1%
HT Under 1.544.1%
HT/FT Away/Away37.7%
HT Both Teams Score35.4%
1st Half More Goals32.2%
HT Draw31.2%
HT Home Win23.7%
Equal Goals Each Half19.9%
HT Under 0.515.4%
HT/FT Draw/Away15.1%
HT/FT Home/Home14.2%
HT/FT Draw/Draw8.5%
HT/FT Draw/Home7.6%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%
HT/FT Home/Away4.4%
HT/FT Away/Home2.4%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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