England · Championship

Lincoln vs Birmingham

Kick-off 13:30 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

Lincoln 16.6% Draw 22.2% Birmingham 61.2%

Over 2.5 - 63% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Birmingham: 7 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

Lincoln

W D L L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:14 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.33

Birmingham

L W W W D D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lincoln win16.6%

Draw22.2%

Birmingham win61.2%

Over 1.5 goals84.7%

Over 2.5 goals63.1%

Over 3.5 goals40.9%

Both teams to score59.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

90.9%

Under 5.5 Goals

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)82.2%

Home or Away (12)80.1%

Draw No Bet - Away77.8%

Both Halves Over 0.564.0%

Goal in Both Halves64.0%

Away Win62.4%

Home or Draw (1X)37.6%

Draw No Bet - Home22.2%

Draw19.8%

Home Win17.8%

Exactly 1 Goal12.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.1%

Under 5.5 Goals88.9%

Over 1.5 Goals83.5%

Under 4.5 Goals77.2%

Over 2.5 Goals63.0%

2-4 Goals60.7%

Under 3.5 Goals59.1%

1-3 Goals55.2%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.6%

Over 3.5 Goals40.9%

4+ Goals40.9%

3-4 Goals40.2%

Under 2.5 Goals37.0%

1-2 Goals33.0%

Over 4.5 Goals22.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Exactly 2 Goals20.5%

Under 1.5 Goals16.5%

Over 5.5 Goals11.1%

Under 0.5 Goals3.9%

Exactly 0 Goals3.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score88.6%

Home Team to Score65.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.6%

Away Clean Sheet34.1%

Away Win to Nil30.2%

Home Clean Sheet11.3%

Home Win to Nil7.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.588.6%

Home Over 0.565.9%

Away Over 1.563.9%

Away Over 2.537.0%

Away 3+ Goals37.0%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 034.1%

Home Over 1.529.2%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 124.7%

Home Exactly 219.7%

Away Exactly 011.3%

Home Over 2.59.5%

Home 3+ Goals9.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)62.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)39.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away39.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)37.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home37.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.0%

Away to win by 123.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.6%

Away to win by 3+20.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.8%

Away to win by 218.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.4%

Home to win by 111.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.6%

Home to win by 24.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.8%

Home to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.3%

Away & Over 2.544.8%

Away & BTTS32.1%

Away & No BTTS30.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.9%

Away & Under 2.517.6%

Draw & BTTS16.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.7%

Draw & Under 2.512.9%

Home & Over 2.511.4%

Home & BTTS10.3%

BTTS & Under 2.59.1%

Home & No BTTS7.5%

Draw & Over 2.56.9%

Home & Under 2.56.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.9%

HT Under 1.557.0%

HT Away Win46.7%

2nd Half More Goals45.4%

HT Over 1.543.0%

HT/FT Away/Away40.9%

HT Draw35.5%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Both Teams Score24.0%

HT Under 0.523.1%

Equal Goals Each Half22.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.0%

HT Home Win17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.9%

HT/FT Home/Home9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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