England · Championship

Lincoln vs Blackburn

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Sep 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Lincoln 62.0% Draw 17.1% Blackburn 20.9%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 81%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lincoln: 9 points versus 7 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.13 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

Lincoln

W W L L W

Form 3-0-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.8 Conceded/game 1.4

Blackburn

L L W D W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lincoln win62.0%

Draw17.1%

Blackburn win20.9%

Over 1.5 goals96.4%

Over 2.5 goals87.2%

Over 3.5 goals73.0%

Both teams to score81.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.3%

HT Over 0.5

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.5%

Both Halves Over 0.583.5%

Goal in Both Halves83.5%

Home or Draw (1X)78.2%

Draw No Bet - Home74.5%

Home Win62.2%

Draw or Away (X2)37.3%

Draw No Bet - Away25.5%

Away Win21.3%

Draw16.0%

Exactly 1 Goal3.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals95.4%

Over 2.5 Goals86.8%

Over 3.5 Goals72.6%

4+ Goals72.6%

Under 5.5 Goals62.6%

Over 4.5 Goals55.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals45.0%

2-4 Goals40.4%

Over 5.5 Goals37.4%

3-4 Goals31.8%

Under 3.5 Goals27.4%

1-3 Goals26.2%

2-3 Goals22.8%

Exactly 3 Goals14.2%

Under 2.5 Goals13.2%

1-2 Goals12.0%

Exactly 2 Goals8.6%

Under 1.5 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.0%

Away Team to Score84.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.7%

Home Clean Sheet15.4%

Home Win to Nil14.7%

Away Clean Sheet4.5%

Away Win to Nil3.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.0%

Away Over 0.584.1%

Home Over 1.581.1%

Home Over 2.559.5%

Home 3+ Goals59.5%

Away Over 1.555.4%

Away Exactly 128.7%

Away Over 2.528.6%

Away 3+ Goals28.6%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 221.6%

Away Exactly 015.4%

Home Exactly 113.9%

Home Exactly 04.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)55.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away55.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)43.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home43.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away37.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.1%

Home to win by 3+27.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.8%

Home to win by 216.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.0%

Away to win by 111.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.1%

Away to win by 26.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.2%

Away to win by 3+4.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.3%

Home & Over 2.556.7%

Home & BTTS47.5%

Away & Over 2.518.8%

Away & BTTS17.5%

Draw & BTTS15.3%

Home & No BTTS14.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Home & Under 2.55.5%

Draw & Under 2.54.7%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Away & No BTTS3.8%

Away & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.3%

HT Over 1.565.4%

HT Home Win50.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Both Teams Score42.8%

HT/FT Home/Home42.8%

HT Under 1.534.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.4%

HT Away Win22.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT/FT Away/Away12.6%

HT Under 0.510.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.2%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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