England · Championship

Lincoln vs Portsmouth

Kick-off 12:30 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

80% confidence

Lincoln 80.1% Draw 10.9% Portsmouth 9.0%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

Lincoln

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 3:3 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Portsmouth

L L D

Form 0-1-2 Goals 3:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lincoln win80.1%

Draw10.9%

Portsmouth win9.0%

Over 1.5 goals97.7%

Over 2.5 goals91.1%

Over 3.5 goals79.7%

Both teams to score76.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.7%

Draw No Bet - Home

89.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home89.7%

Home or Draw (1X)88.7%

Home or Away (12)87.7%

Both Halves Over 0.587.3%

Goal in Both Halves87.3%

Home Win78.7%

Draw or Away (X2)19.1%

Draw No Bet - Away10.3%

Draw10.1%

Away Win9.0%

Exactly 1 Goal2.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals89.1%

Over 3.5 Goals77.9%

4+ Goals77.9%

Over 4.5 Goals62.4%

Under 5.5 Goals54.7%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

Total Goals Even48.9%

Over 5.5 Goals45.3%

Under 4.5 Goals37.6%

2-4 Goals32.8%

3-4 Goals26.7%

Under 3.5 Goals22.1%

1-3 Goals19.5%

2-3 Goals17.3%

Exactly 3 Goals11.2%

Under 2.5 Goals10.9%

1-2 Goals8.3%

Exactly 2 Goals6.1%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score76.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.4%

Home Clean Sheet21.8%

Home Win to Nil21.4%

Away Clean Sheet1.8%

Away Win to Nil1.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.588.8%

Away Over 0.576.0%

Home Over 2.574.3%

Home 3+ Goals74.3%

Away Over 1.543.2%

Away Exactly 132.7%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 021.8%

Away Over 2.518.7%

Away 3+ Goals18.7%

Home Exactly 214.5%

Home Exactly 17.2%

Home Exactly 01.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away80.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)78.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away67.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home64.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)51.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away51.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)46.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home46.8%

Home to win by 3+46.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)33.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away33.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)30.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home30.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home17.2%

Home to win by 217.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 114.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.5%

Away to win by 15.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 22.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.2%

Away to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.573.8%

BTTS & Over 2.572.2%

Home & BTTS57.3%

Home & No BTTS21.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.9%

Draw & BTTS9.7%

Away & Over 2.58.0%

Away & BTTS7.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Home & Under 2.54.8%

Draw & Under 2.52.8%

BTTS & Under 2.52.4%

Away & No BTTS1.4%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.7%

HT Over 1.571.0%

HT Home Win64.6%

HT/FT Home/Home60.4%

2nd Half More Goals50.6%

HT Both Teams Score41.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.529.0%

HT Draw22.1%

Equal Goals Each Half17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.2%

HT Away Win13.3%

HT Under 0.58.3%

HT/FT Away/Home5.2%

HT/FT Away/Away5.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions