England · Championship

Lincoln vs Swansea

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Sep 19

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Lincoln 14.3% Draw 20.4% Swansea 65.3%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

86%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

Lincoln

W W L D D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 4:5 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 0.83

Swansea

W L D W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lincoln win14.3%

Draw20.4%

Swansea win65.3%

Over 1.5 goals86.3%

Over 2.5 goals65.8%

Over 3.5 goals43.9%

Both teams to score59.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

90.4%

Away Over 0.5

90.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)84.6%

Home or Away (12)81.6%

Draw No Bet - Away81.2%

Away Win66.3%

Both Halves Over 0.566.1%

Goal in Both Halves66.1%

Home or Draw (1X)33.6%

Draw No Bet - Home18.8%

Draw18.3%

Home Win15.3%

Exactly 1 Goal11.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Under 5.5 Goals87.3%

Over 1.5 Goals85.1%

Under 4.5 Goals74.7%

Over 2.5 Goals65.8%

2-4 Goals59.8%

Under 3.5 Goals56.1%

1-3 Goals52.7%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals43.9%

4+ Goals43.9%

2-3 Goals41.3%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals34.2%

1-2 Goals30.8%

Over 4.5 Goals25.3%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Exactly 2 Goals19.4%

Under 1.5 Goals14.9%

Over 5.5 Goals12.7%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals3.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.4%

Home Team to Score64.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.5%

Away Clean Sheet35.2%

Away Win to Nil31.8%

Home Clean Sheet9.6%

Home Win to Nil6.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.4%

Away Over 1.567.9%

Home Over 0.564.7%

Away Over 2.541.6%

Away 3+ Goals41.6%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 035.2%

Home Over 1.528.0%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 122.5%

Home Exactly 219.2%

Away Exactly 09.6%

Home Over 2.58.8%

Home 3+ Goals8.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away84.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)75.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home75.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)66.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)56.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home56.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)43.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away43.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)33.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home33.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)24.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away24.3%

Away to win by 3+24.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.5%

Away to win by 122.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.6%

Away to win by 219.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.0%

Home to win by 110.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.9%

Home to win by 23.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.5%

Home to win by 3+1.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.550.3%

Away & Over 2.549.1%

Away & BTTS34.5%

Away & No BTTS31.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.9%

Away & Under 2.517.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.5%

Draw & BTTS14.9%

Draw & Under 2.511.6%

Home & Over 2.510.0%

Home & BTTS9.1%

BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

Draw & Over 2.56.7%

Home & No BTTS6.2%

Home & Under 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.2%

HT Under 1.554.9%

HT Away Win49.8%

2nd Half More Goals45.8%

HT Over 1.545.1%

HT/FT Away/Away44.4%

HT Draw33.9%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score24.4%

Equal Goals Each Half22.4%

HT Under 0.521.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.4%

HT Home Win16.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.9%

HT/FT Home/Home8.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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