England · Championship

Lincoln vs West Ham

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Oct 14

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

Lincoln 10.0% Draw 12.4% West Ham 77.6%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to West Ham: 7 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

Lincoln

L L W W L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

West Ham

D D W W W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 19:7 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Lincoln win10.0%

Draw12.4%

West Ham win77.6%

Over 1.5 goals96.6%

Over 2.5 goals88.2%

Over 3.5 goals74.5%

Both teams to score74.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.9%

Draw or Away (X2)

88.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)88.4%

Draw No Bet - Away88.2%

Home or Away (12)87.3%

Both Halves Over 0.584.5%

Goal in Both Halves84.5%

Away Win76.9%

Home or Draw (1X)21.8%

Draw No Bet - Home11.8%

Draw11.4%

Home Win10.3%

Exactly 1 Goal3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals95.0%

Over 2.5 Goals87.0%

Over 3.5 Goals73.5%

4+ Goals73.5%

Under 5.5 Goals61.2%

Over 4.5 Goals56.3%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Under 4.5 Goals43.7%

Over 5.5 Goals38.8%

2-4 Goals38.6%

3-4 Goals30.7%

Under 3.5 Goals26.5%

1-3 Goals24.5%

2-3 Goals21.4%

Exactly 3 Goals13.5%

Under 2.5 Goals13.0%

1-2 Goals11.1%

Exactly 2 Goals7.9%

Under 1.5 Goals5.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.1%

Home Team to Score75.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.0%

Away Clean Sheet23.7%

Away Win to Nil23.1%

Home Clean Sheet2.5%

Home Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 1.586.8%

Home Over 0.575.0%

Away Over 2.569.7%

Away 3+ Goals69.7%

Home Over 1.541.2%

Home Exactly 133.8%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Home Exactly 023.7%

Home Over 2.517.1%

Home 3+ Goals17.1%

Away Exactly 217.1%

Away Exactly 19.3%

Away Exactly 02.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away88.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home84.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)76.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home72.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)60.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away60.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)56.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home56.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)42.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away42.7%

Away to win by 3+42.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)37.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home37.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away26.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)21.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home21.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.1%

Away to win by 218.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.2%

Away to win by 116.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away14.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw12.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw7.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away6.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.3%

Home to win by 16.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.7%

Home to win by 22.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.3%

Home to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.570.6%

BTTS & Over 2.569.8%

Away & BTTS53.8%

Away & No BTTS23.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.2%

Draw & BTTS10.8%

Home & Over 2.58.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.5%

Home & BTTS8.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.6%

Away & Under 2.56.4%

Draw & Under 2.53.8%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Home & No BTTS1.9%

Home & Under 2.51.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.9%

HT Over 1.566.8%

HT Away Win61.9%

HT/FT Away/Away57.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.8%

HT Both Teams Score38.3%

HT Under 1.533.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.9%

HT Home Win14.2%

HT Under 0.510.1%

HT/FT Home/Home5.8%

HT/FT Home/Away5.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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