England · Premier League

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest

Kick-off 12:30 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Liverpool 58.4% Draw 23.2% Nottingham Forest 18.4%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Liverpool: 6 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Liverpool 2 wins, 1 draws, Nottingham Forest 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

Liverpool

D D L D L W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 11:12 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2

Nottingham Forest

L L D L D L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 4:12 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 5

Liverpool 2wins ·1 draws ·Nottingham Forest 2wins

Liverpool 1-0 Nottingham ForestFeb 22, 2026

Liverpool 0-3 Nottingham ForestNov 22, 2025

Liverpool 1-1 Nottingham ForestJan 14, 2025

Liverpool 0-1 Nottingham ForestSep 14, 2024

Liverpool 1-0 Nottingham ForestMar 2, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Liverpool win58.4%

Draw23.2%

Nottingham Forest win18.4%

Over 1.5 goals81.5%

Over 2.5 goals91.6%

Over 3.5 goals36.1%

Both teams to score86.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.6%

Home Over 0.5

91.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.9%

Both Halves Over 0.577.3%

Goal in Both Halves77.3%

Home or Draw (1X)72.6%

Draw No Bet - Home66.3%

Home Win53.6%

Draw or Away (X2)46.2%

Draw No Bet - Away33.7%

Away Win27.3%

Draw18.9%

Exactly 1 Goal5.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals92.5%

Over 2.5 Goals79.8%

Under 5.5 Goals74.2%

Over 3.5 Goals61.7%

4+ Goals61.7%

Under 4.5 Goals57.6%

2-4 Goals50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals42.4%

Under 3.5 Goals38.3%

3-4 Goals37.5%

1-3 Goals36.8%

2-3 Goals30.8%

Over 5.5 Goals25.8%

Under 2.5 Goals20.2%

1-2 Goals18.6%

Exactly 3 Goals18.1%

Exactly 2 Goals12.7%

Under 1.5 Goals7.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.6%

Away Team to Score83.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.8%

Home Clean Sheet16.9%

Home Win to Nil15.5%

Away Clean Sheet8.2%

Away Win to Nil6.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.6%

Away Over 0.583.0%

Home Over 1.571.1%

Away Over 1.553.0%

Home Over 2.545.4%

Home 3+ Goals45.4%

Away Exactly 130.0%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Over 2.526.3%

Away 3+ Goals26.3%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Home Exactly 120.6%

Away Exactly 016.9%

Home Exactly 08.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)53.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away46.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 119.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.5%

Home to win by 3+18.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 215.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.9%

Away to win by 113.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.9%

Away to win by 27.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.5%

Away to win by 3+5.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.0%

Home & Over 2.545.8%

Home & BTTS38.2%

Away & Over 2.522.6%

Away & BTTS20.5%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

Home & No BTTS15.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.9%

Draw & Over 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.8%

Home & Under 2.57.8%

Draw & Under 2.57.6%

Away & No BTTS6.8%

BTTS & Under 2.56.2%

Away & Under 2.54.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.4%

HT Over 1.557.3%

2nd Half More Goals48.2%

HT Home Win43.1%

HT Under 1.542.7%

HT Both Teams Score37.2%

HT/FT Home/Home35.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw31.0%

HT Away Win25.9%

Equal Goals Each Half19.6%

HT/FT Away/Away16.3%

HT Under 0.514.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions