England · League Cup

Liverpool vs Tottenham

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Sep 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Liverpool 56.5% Draw 23.8% Tottenham 19.7%

Over 2.5 - 61% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Liverpool: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Liverpool 4 wins, 1 draws, Tottenham 0 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Liverpool

D W W D D D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

Tottenham

D D L W L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Liverpool 4wins ·1 draws ·Tottenham 0wins

Liverpool 1-1 TottenhamMar 15, 2026

Liverpool 2-1 TottenhamDec 20, 2025

Liverpool 5-1 TottenhamApr 27, 2025

Liverpool 6-3 TottenhamDec 22, 2024

Liverpool 4-2 TottenhamMay 5, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Liverpool win56.5%

Draw23.8%

Tottenham win19.7%

Over 1.5 goals83.7%

Over 2.5 goals61.2%

Over 3.5 goals38.9%

Both teams to score60.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.9%

Home Team to Score

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.3%

Home or Draw (1X)80.2%

Draw No Bet - Home75.8%

Both Halves Over 0.571.1%

Goal in Both Halves71.1%

Home Win61.6%

Draw or Away (X2)38.3%

Draw No Bet - Away24.2%

Away Win19.7%

Draw18.6%

Exactly 1 Goal8.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals88.7%

Under 5.5 Goals82.4%

Over 2.5 Goals72.2%

Under 4.5 Goals67.9%

2-4 Goals56.6%

Over 3.5 Goals51.5%

4+ Goals51.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals48.5%

1-3 Goals46.1%

3-4 Goals40.1%

2-3 Goals37.2%

Over 4.5 Goals32.1%

Under 2.5 Goals27.8%

1-2 Goals25.4%

Exactly 3 Goals20.7%

Over 5.5 Goals17.6%

Exactly 2 Goals16.6%

Under 1.5 Goals11.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.1%

Away Team to Score73.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.2%

Home Clean Sheet26.6%

Home Win to Nil24.2%

Away Clean Sheet8.9%

Away Win to Nil6.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.1%

Away Over 0.573.3%

Home Over 1.569.6%

Home Over 2.543.6%

Home 3+ Goals43.6%

Away Over 1.538.1%

Away Exactly 135.2%

Away Exactly 026.6%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Away Exactly 223.3%

Home Exactly 121.5%

Away Over 2.514.8%

Away 3+ Goals14.8%

Home Exactly 08.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)59.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away59.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)40.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home40.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home22.2%

Home to win by 3+22.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.3%

Home to win by 121.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 218.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 111.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.4%

Away to win by 25.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.6%

Away to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.559.3%

Home & Over 2.549.0%

Home & BTTS37.4%

Home & No BTTS24.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.2%

Draw & BTTS16.3%

Away & Over 2.514.5%

Away & BTTS13.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.9%

Home & Under 2.512.6%

Draw & Under 2.59.9%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

BTTS & Under 2.57.6%

Away & No BTTS6.5%

Away & Under 2.55.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.5%

HT Over 1.550.3%

HT Under 1.549.7%

HT Home Win47.4%

2nd Half More Goals46.9%

HT/FT Home/Home40.9%

HT Draw32.6%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score29.8%

Equal Goals Each Half21.1%

HT Away Win20.0%

HT Under 0.518.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.7%

HT/FT Away/Away11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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